Sun, Jan 30, 2022·Centre Bell, Montreal
Columbus Blue Jackets 6, Montréal Canadiens 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 86% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 413 | 011 | 212 | 636 |
| MTL | 110 | 18 | 117 | 335 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:19MTLNick SuzukiAssists: Tyler Toffoli, Artturi Lehkonen · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 3:51CBJPatrik LaineAssists: Gustav Nyquist, Vladislav Gavrikov · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–1
- P1 8:39CBJJack RoslovicAssists: Gavin Bayreuther · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–1
- P1 10:11CBJEric RobinsonSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.15 xG3–1
- P1 13:14CBJEgor ChinakhovGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–1
- P2 19:19MTLTyler ToffoliAssists: Artturi Lehkonen, Nick Suzuki · Wrist, 0.07 xG4–2
- P3 6:55MTLArtturi LehkonenSHAssists: Jake Evans, Jeff Petry · Tip-in, 0.15 xG4–3
- P3 9:58CBJCole SillingerAssists: Andrew Peeke · Wrist, 0.05 xG5–3
- P3 17:12CBJPatrik LaineENAssists: Cole Sillinger, Gustav Nyquist · Wrist, 0.78 xG6–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 9:54CBJZach Werenski: Interference2 min
- P1 10:49MTLNick Suzuki: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:47MTLBrendan Gallagher: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:47CBJAndrew Peeke: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:32CBJZach Werenski: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:51MTLChris Wideman: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:35MTLAlexander Romanov: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:35CBJAdam Boqvist: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuraly won the faceoff against Evans
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Robinson – Chinakhov8:55
xG 0.73–0.09 (89%)attempts 18–6goals 1–0
- Domi – Roslovic – Bemstrom9:39
xG 0.62–0.23 (73%)attempts 13–6goals 1–1
- Voracek – Bjorkstrand – Sillinger9:30
xG 0.44–0.10 (82%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Jenner – Laine10:19
xG 0.42–0.52 (45%)attempts 10–11goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Boqvist10:12
xG 1.06–0.23 (82%)attempts 17–8goals 1–1
- Werenski – Peeke16:35
xG 1.02–0.47 (69%)attempts 19–13goals 0–0
- Bean – Bayreuther6:53
xG 0.46–0.18 (71%)attempts 12–5goals 2–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- Toffoli – Lehkonen – Suzuki9:22
xG 0.38–0.42 (47%)attempts 8–12goals 2–1
- Hoffman – Gallagher – Dauphin9:33
xG 0.29–0.41 (41%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Pitlick – Pezzetta – Poehling4:24
xG 0.09–0.34 (20%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
- Byron – Anderson – Evans11:45
xG 0.42–0.78 (35%)attempts 9–18goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Petry – Kulak13:06
xG 0.36–0.55 (40%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
- Wideman – Clague8:36
xG 0.62–0.83 (43%)attempts 10–11goals 0–3
- Chiarot – Romanov17:29
xG 0.39–0.79 (33%)attempts 14–26goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 86% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).