Sun, Jan 30, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York
Seattle Kraken 2, New York Rangers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 014 | 111 | 117 | 242 |
| NYR | 16 | 16 | 112 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:46NYRMika ZibanejadPPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Jacob Trouba · Snap, 0.15 xG0–1
- P2 4:23NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Zac Jones · Wrist, 0.44 xG0–2
- P2 7:17SEAJared McCannAssists: Jordan Eberle, Marcus Johansson · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–2
- P3 18:52SEAYanni GourdePPAssists: Mark Giordano, Jared McCann · Slap, 0.08 xG2–2
- P3 19:26NYRK'Andre MillerGWGAssists: Mika Zibanejad · Snap, 0.03 xG2–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 10:57SEAAlexander Wennberg: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 14:08NYRLibor Hajek: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:44NYRJacob Trouba: Interference2 min
- P3 0:36SEAMason Appleton: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:28NYRRyan Reaves: High sticking2 min
- P3 12:18SEAVince Dunn: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:21NYRChris Kreider: Holding2 min
- P3 16:55NYRMika Zibanejad: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gourde won the faceoff against Strome
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestBlackwell – Gourde – Appleton10:20
xG 0.50–0.11 (82%)attempts 16–4goals 0–0
- Eberle – Johansson – McCann11:12
xG 0.44–0.19 (70%)attempts 15–9goals 1–0
- Donskoi – Wennberg – Donato11:41
xG 0.10–0.09 (54%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDunn – Borgen11:53
xG 0.39–0.04 (91%)attempts 14–2goals 0–0
- Giordano – Larsson13:51
xG 0.40–0.36 (53%)attempts 18–12goals 1–1
- Giordano – Dunn2:49
xG 0.19–0.24 (45%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Zibanejad – Lafrenière8:16
xG 0.62–0.06 (91%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Strome – Goodrow – Panarin6:30
xG 0.72–0.28 (72%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Strome – Hunt – Panarin5:15
xG 0.11–0.15 (42%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- McKegg – Brodzinski – Gauthier5:48
xG 0.23–0.33 (40%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindgren – Schneider15:37
xG 0.93–0.47 (66%)attempts 14–18goals 0–1
- Hajek – Jones9:54
xG 0.51–0.59 (46%)attempts 2–14goals 1–0
- Trouba – Miller15:21
xG 0.22–0.73 (23%)attempts 12–23goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).