Sat, Feb 12, 2022·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Chicago Blackhawks 1, St. Louis Blues 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 05 | 19 | 02 | 116 |
| STL | 29 | 19 | 213 | 531 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:19STLDavid PerronPPAssists: Justin Faulk, Brayden Schenn · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 11:31STLDakota JoshuaGWGAssists: Torey Krug, Oskar Sundqvist · Backhand, 0.19 xG0–2
- P2 2:37CHIDylan StromePPAssists: Patrick Kane, Dominik Kubalik · Tip-in, 0.15 xG1–2
- P2 19:19STLVladimir TarasenkoAssists: Robert Thomas, Pavel Buchnevich · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–3
- P3 7:11STLOskar SundqvistAssists: Niko Mikkola, Brandon Saad · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–4
- P3 15:38STLJordan KyrouAssists: Brayden Schenn · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–5
Penalties (6)
- P1 7:11CHIConnor Murphy: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 1:45STLNiko Mikkola: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 2:24STLPavel Buchnevich: High sticking2 min
- P2 6:09STLDavid Perron: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 6:39CHIBrandon Hagel: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:48CHICalvin de Haan: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dach won the faceoff against O'Reilly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestCarpenter – Lafferty – Kurashev2:28
xG 0.22–0.10 (70%)attempts 3–2goals 0–1
- Lafferty – Borgstrom – Slavin7:45
xG 0.22–0.19 (54%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Kane – Kubalik – Strome8:44
xG 0.26–0.49 (35%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
- Carpenter – Entwistle – Kurashev5:45
xG 0.07–0.38 (16%)attempts 2–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMcCabe – Jones3:48
xG 0.08–0.02 (76%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Murphy – Jones13:44
xG 0.47–0.55 (46%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
- de Haan – McCabe3:46
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–1
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestO'Reilly – Schenn – Kyrou12:30
xG 0.88–0.37 (71%)attempts 16–4goals 1–0
- Perron – Saad – Barbashev12:36
xG 0.56–0.18 (76%)attempts 14–5goals 0–0
- Sundqvist – Joshua – Kostin6:04
xG 0.28–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
- Tarasenko – Buchnevich – Thomas11:44
xG 0.43–0.57 (43%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestParayko – Mikkola17:11
xG 1.19–0.21 (85%)attempts 21–4goals 1–0
- Bortuzzo – Walman7:12
xG 0.05–0.16 (26%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Faulk – Krug16:25
xG 0.72–0.89 (45%)attempts 20–14goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).