Tue, Feb 1, 2022·TD Garden, Boston
Seattle Kraken 2, Boston Bruins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 09 | 09 | 29 | 227 |
| BOS | 07 | 211 | 18 | 326 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 9:06BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Taylor Hall, Brad Marchand · Slap, 0.16 xG0–1
- P2 16:09BOSTaylor HallAssists: Tomas Nosek, David Pastrnak · Snap, 0.14 xG0–2
- P3 0:42SEAJoonas DonskoiUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P3 7:30SEAMason AppletonAssists: Adam Larsson, Colin Blackwell · Deflected, 0.09 xG2–2
- P3 10:49BOSDavid PastrnakPPGWGAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand · Snap, 0.07 xG2–3
Penalties (13)
- P1 3:00BOSAnton Blidh: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:16BOSCharlie McAvoy: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:38SEAYanni Gourde: Boarding2 min
- P2 4:00SEAJeremy Lauzon: Fighting5 min
- P2 4:00BOSDerek Forbort: Fighting5 min
- P2 4:00SEAYanni Gourde: Roughing2 min
- P2 4:00BOSCurtis Lazar: Roughing2 min
- P2 4:00BOSSteven Fogarty: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:49SEAMarcus Johansson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 11:57BOSBrandon Carlo: Interference2 min
- P2 13:20BOSJake DeBrusk: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 4:47BOSBrad Marchand: Interference2 min
- P3 10:28SEAMark Giordano: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nosek won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Johansson – McCann7:39
xG 0.45–0.23 (66%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Sheahan – Blackwell – Geekie3:02
xG 0.20–0.02 (93%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Jarnkrok – Gourde – Appleton9:24
xG 0.26–0.20 (57%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Donskoi – Wennberg – Donato10:33
xG 0.09–0.24 (26%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Giordano – Dunn2:01
xG 0.04–0.03 (52%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Larsson – Lauzon3:22
xG 0.13–0.14 (49%)attempts 3–4goals 1–0
- Dunn – Lauzon9:57
xG 0.17–0.18 (49%)attempts 7–8goals 1–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Smith10:21
xG 0.76–0.24 (76%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Hall – Nosek – Pastrnak10:53
xG 0.51–0.37 (58%)attempts 7–7goals 1–1
- Fogarty – Blidh – Steen4:13
xG 0.11–0.06 (66%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Fogarty – Blidh – Lazar2:19
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestReilly – Carlo12:36
xG 0.58–0.25 (70%)attempts 11–11goals 0–1
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy8:29
xG 0.50–0.21 (70%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Forbort – McAvoy5:28
xG 0.39–0.24 (61%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).