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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 1, 2022·UBS Arena, Elmont

Ottawa Senators 1, New York Islanders 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 65% of the time.

NYI winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Dobson, saved by Forsberg
  3. P1 1:15Shot by Gaudette, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 1:56Goal by Holden (Ennis, Tkachuk)+10 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Parise, Greene, Bailey, Pageau, Pulock · OTT Holden, Ennis, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub

  5. P1 2:40Wahlstrom: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Parise, Nelson, Pelech, Wahlstrom, Dobson · OTT Holden, Ennis, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub

  6. P1 2:40Stützle: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYI Parise, Nelson, Pelech, Wahlstrom, Dobson · OTT Holden, Ennis, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub

  7. P1 3:10Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Sorokin4v4
  8. P1 4:29Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Sorokin4v4
  9. P1 4:46Shot by Martin, saved by Forsberg
  10. P1 5:02Shot by Greene, saved by Forsberg
  11. P1 6:22Shot by Nelson, saved by Forsberg
  12. P1 8:52Brown: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Mayfield, Pelech · OTT Brown, Mete, Formenton, Kastelic, Sokolov

  13. P1 9:47Shot by Lee, saved by Forsberg5v4
  14. P1 10:37Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Forsberg5v4
  15. P1 10:50Shot by Pulock, saved by Forsberg5v4
  16. P1 11:32Shot by Stützle, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 14:06Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Forsberg
  18. P1 14:12Shot by Pelech, saved by Forsberg
  19. P1 14:58Shot by Dobson, saved by Forsberg
  20. P1 15:29Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Forsberg
  21. P1 16:09Bishop: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Chara, Parise, Cizikas, Pulock, Wahlstrom · OTT Bishop, Chabot, Brannstrom, Kastelic, Sokolov

  22. P1 16:20Shot by Zub, saved by Sorokin5v4
  23. P1 18:07Goal by Beauvillier (Parise, Nelson)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Parise, Bailey, Nelson, Pulock, Beauvillier · OTT Brown, Paul, Mete, Formenton

  24. P1 19:08Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Sorokin
  25. P1 19:18Shot by Parise, saved by Forsberg
  26. P1 19:44Shot by Pulock, saved by Forsberg
  27. P1 19:59Shot by Stützle, saved by Sorokin
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:10Shot by Chabot, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 1:21Shot by Mayfield, saved by Forsberg
  32. P2 3:13Shot by Pageau, saved by Forsberg
  33. P2 3:20Shot by Chara, saved by Forsberg
  34. P2 5:49Shot by Nelson, saved by Forsberg
  35. P2 6:24Shot by Gaudette, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 7:35Shot by Formenton, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 7:57Shot by Martin, saved by Forsberg
  38. P2 8:41Shot by Chara, saved by Forsberg
  39. P2 8:42Goal by Wahlstrom (Chara, Dobson)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Chara, Parise, Pageau, Wahlstrom, Dobson · OTT Watson, Paul, Sanford, Chabot, Brannstrom

  40. P2 10:36Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 11:38Shot by Sanford, saved by Sorokin
  42. P2 12:56Shot by Ennis, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 13:57Shot by Palmieri, saved by Forsberg
  44. P2 15:50Goal by Barzal (Mayfield)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Lee, Mayfield, Pelech, Barzal · OTT Holden, Bishop, Kastelic, Sokolov, Zub

  45. P2 17:22Palmieri: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Mayfield, Pelech, Beauvillier · OTT Chabot, Formenton, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Stützle

  46. P2 19:32Shot by Paul, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 19:55Shot by Bishop, saved by Sorokin
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:14Shot by Watson, saved by Sorokin
  51. P3 0:26Shot by Pulock, saved by Forsberg
  52. P3 0:33Shot by Pelech, saved by Forsberg
  53. P3 1:17Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 1:24Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Forsberg
  55. P3 4:40Shot by Pageau, saved by Forsberg
  56. P3 5:48Shot by Brown, saved by Sorokin
  57. P3 5:53Bishop: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Chara, Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Dobson · OTT Watson, Brown, Bishop, Mete, Kastelic

  58. P3 5:53Martin: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Chara, Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Dobson · OTT Watson, Brown, Bishop, Mete, Kastelic

  59. P3 6:55Shot by Formenton, saved by Sorokin4v4
  60. P3 7:44Goal by Pelech (Mayfield, Pageau)4v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Nelson, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech · OTT Chabot, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Stützle

  61. P3 9:13Shot by Brown, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 10:55Shot by Gaudette, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 10:57Shot by Holden, saved by Sorokin
  64. P3 12:10Shot by Zub, saved by Sorokin
  65. P3 14:08Shot by Paul, saved by Sorokin
  66. P3 14:52Shot by Gaudette, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 15:48Shot by Dobson, saved by Forsberg
  68. P3 16:30Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Forsberg
  69. P3 17:11Shot by Holden, saved by Sorokin
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final