Tue, Feb 1, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York
Florida Panthers 2, New York Rangers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 115 | 112 | 09 | 236 |
| NYR | 17 | 215 | 213 | 535 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:35NYRMika ZibanejadUnassisted · Backhand, 0.02 xG0–1
- P1 10:44FLAAnthony DuclairAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Aleksander Barkov · Snap, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 2:18FLASam ReinhartPPAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Aaron Ekblad · Wrist, 0.30 xG2–1
- P2 3:27NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Chris Kreider · Backhand, 0.09 xG2–2
- P2 17:25NYRChris KreiderPPGWGAssists: Ryan Strome, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–3
- P3 14:39NYRChris KreiderPPAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Artemi Panarin · Tip-in, 0.16 xG2–4
- P3 19:19NYRArtemi PanarinENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.73 xG2–5
Penalties (10)
- P1 16:48FLABrandon Montour: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:13NYRK'Andre Miller: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 5:15FLARadko Gudas: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:54NYRRyan Lindgren: Slashing2 min
- P2 14:00NYRMorgan Barron: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:46FLACarter Verhaeghe: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 5:18FLAMason Marchment: Fighting5 min
- P3 5:18NYRRyan Strome: Fighting5 min
- P3 13:42FLAMason Marchment: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 18:23FLAAleksander Barkov: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- Vatrano – Lomberg – Luostarinen6:04
xG 0.28–0.24 (54%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Reinhart – Marchment – Lundell6:28
xG 0.27–0.24 (53%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
- Huberdeau – Duclair – Barkov11:17
xG 0.60–0.65 (48%)attempts 9–10goals 1–1
- Verhaeghe – Bennett – Tippett8:07
xG 0.39–0.53 (42%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWeegar – Ekblad16:42
xG 0.99–0.55 (65%)attempts 16–14goals 1–1
- Montour – Forsling2:53
xG 0.08–0.03 (70%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Gudas – Forsling10:41
xG 0.60–0.68 (47%)attempts 10–17goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Hunt – Panarin8:43
xG 1.00–0.68 (59%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Hunt – Panarin2:29
xG 0.26–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Reaves – McKegg – Rooney8:58
xG 0.37–0.43 (46%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Gauthier – Barron5:22
xG 0.21–0.27 (43%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Miller18:11
xG 1.24–0.63 (66%)attempts 24–12goals 0–0
- Hajek – Jones7:42
xG 0.59–0.37 (62%)attempts 6–10goals 0–1
- Lindgren – Schneider16:20
xG 0.65–0.96 (40%)attempts 19–19goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).