Tue, Feb 1, 2022·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Vancouver Canucks 2, Nashville Predators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 29 | 014 | 09 | 232 |
| NSH | 211 | 15 | 112 | 428 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:56VANMatthew HighmoreAssists: Juho Lammikko · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–0
- P1 14:22NSHRyan JohansenAssists: Michael McCarron, Alexandre Carrier · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P1 15:30NSHFilip ForsbergAssists: Philippe Myers, Matt Duchene · Deflected, 0.04 xG1–2
- P1 17:36VANOliver Ekman-LarssonAssists: Brock Boeser, Tanner Pearson · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–2
- P2 3:12NSHFilip ForsbergPPGWGAssists: Roman Josi, Mikael Granlund · Slap, 0.06 xG2–3
- P3 1:28NSHTanner JeannotAssists: Mattias Ekholm, Colton Sissons · Wrist, 0.34 xG2–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 3:14VANTanner Pearson: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:21NSHTanner Jeannot: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:46VANJ.T. Miller: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 18:37VANBrock Boeser: Tripping2 min
- P3 5:34NSHDante Fabbro: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sissons won the faceoff against Miller
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHorvat – Boeser – Pettersson2:25
xG 0.32–0.08 (80%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Miller – Pearson – Boeser8:40
xG 0.43–0.38 (53%)attempts 13–9goals 1–1
- Motte – Lammikko – Highmore7:51
xG 0.22–0.22 (51%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
- Chiasson – Dickinson – Podkolzin8:04
xG 0.35–0.42 (45%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Myers – Ekman-Larsson17:18
xG 0.59–0.56 (51%)attempts 15–15goals 1–1
- Hunt – Hughes3:15
xG 0.22–0.24 (47%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Hunt – Juulsen7:20
xG 0.15–0.19 (43%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestSissons – Trenin – Jeannot9:38
xG 0.47–0.16 (74%)attempts 9–9goals 1–0
- McCarron – Tolvanen – Tomasino7:37
xG 0.36–0.20 (64%)attempts 5–6goals 0–1
- Duchene – Granlund – Forsberg12:33
xG 0.39–0.42 (48%)attempts 11–12goals 1–0
- Johansen – Cousins – Kunin9:22
xG 0.28–0.57 (33%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJosi – Fabbro15:52
xG 0.81–0.52 (61%)attempts 18–19goals 0–0
- Borowiecki – Myers11:56
xG 0.54–0.44 (55%)attempts 9–13goals 1–0
- Ekholm – Carrier13:56
xG 0.72–0.65 (52%)attempts 12–17goals 2–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NSH − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).