Wed, Feb 2, 2022·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Los Angeles Kings 5, Detroit Red Wings 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 013 | 222 | 310 | 545 |
| DET | 15 | 08 | 212 | 325 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:05DETMichael RasmussenAssists: Filip Zadina, Filip Hronek · Wrist, 0.15 xG0–1
- P2 12:47LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Austin Strand, Trevor Moore · Backhand, 0.24 xG1–1
- P2 18:11LAKArthur KaliyevAssists: Blake Lizotte, Austin Strand · Backhand, 0.34 xG2–1
- P3 8:39DETTyler BertuzziAssists: Gustav Lindstrom, Dylan Larkin · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–2
- P3 12:12LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Trevor Moore, Viktor Arvidsson · Snap, 0.20 xG3–2
- P3 18:33LAKViktor ArvidssonENGWGAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.62 xG4–2
- P3 19:13DETJoseph VelenoAssists: Sam Gagner, Gemel Smith · Snap, 0.09 xG4–3
- P3 19:50LAKAdrian KempeENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.49 xG5–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 12:15DETAdam Erne: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 3:09LAKQuinton Byfield: Holding2 min
- P2 7:19DETMoritz Seider: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:53LAKSean Durzi: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:53LAKBrendan Lemieux: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 11:53DETRobby Fabbri: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:53DETTyler Bertuzzi: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 10:26LAKBrendan Lemieux: Fighting5 min
- P3 10:26DETGemel Smith: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Rasmussen won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Arvidsson – Moore13:06
xG 1.58–0.56 (74%)attempts 19–8goals 2–0
- Lemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev8:26
xG 0.72–0.48 (60%)attempts 10–6goals 1–0
- Brown – Athanasiou – Byfield10:02
xG 0.35–0.33 (51%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Iafallo14:17
xG 0.47–0.56 (46%)attempts 10–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMaatta – Strand12:53
xG 1.26–0.23 (84%)attempts 18–5goals 2–0
- Maatta – Durzi2:03
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Doughty – Moverare17:16
xG 0.87–0.79 (52%)attempts 19–12goals 0–0
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestGagner – Fabbri – Veleno3:12
xG 0.25–0.06 (81%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Namestnikov – Larkin – Raymond8:16
xG 0.41–0.24 (63%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Larkin – Raymond8:10
xG 0.51–0.40 (56%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Namestnikov – Erne – Rasmussen2:39
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDeKeyser – Lindstrom5:23
xG 0.23–0.06 (79%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Oesterle – Hronek4:28
xG 0.40–0.25 (62%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
- DeKeyser – Seider7:42
xG 0.38–0.29 (56%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).