Thu, Feb 24, 2022·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Boston Bruins 3, Seattle Kraken 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 117 | 114 | 07 | 11 | 339 |
| SEA | 18 | 110 | 09 | 00 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:29SEAMark GiordanoSHAssists: Riley Sheahan, Jamie Oleksiak · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 17:33BOSJake DeBruskAssists: Erik Haula, Craig Smith · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 6:47BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Matt Grzelcyk · Slap, 0.04 xG2–1
- P2 13:19SEAJordan EberleAssists: Marcus Johansson, Calle Jarnkrok · Backhand, 0.10 xG2–2
- OT 0:33BOSJake DeBruskGWGAssists: Charlie Coyle, Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–2
Penalties (7)
- P1 0:20SEAMark Giordano: Tripping2 min
- P1 1:42SEAAdam Larsson: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 9:02SEAAlexander Wennberg: High sticking2 min
- P1 12:00BOSCharlie McAvoy: High sticking2 min
- P1 15:24SEAAdam Larsson: Interference2 min
- P2 2:41BOSTomas Nosek: High sticking2 min
- P2 16:19BOSTomas Nosek: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Coyle won the faceoff against Jarnkrok
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk10:36
xG 0.65–0.14 (82%)attempts 16–8goals 0–0
- Foligno – Lazar – Nosek3:02
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Haula – Hall – Pastrnak8:17
xG 0.17–0.27 (39%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Smith – Coyle – Frederic9:20
xG 0.25–0.42 (37%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestReilly – McAvoy14:03
xG 0.70–0.49 (59%)attempts 15–11goals 0–1
- Forbort – Clifton9:16
xG 0.23–0.48 (32%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo11:32
xG 0.21–0.47 (31%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestDonato – Czarnik – Geekie5:17
xG 0.27–0.13 (67%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Sheahan – Donskoi – Wennberg10:45
xG 0.21–0.18 (53%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Gourde – Appleton7:28
xG 0.52–0.52 (50%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Eberle – Johansson – Jarnkrok11:55
xG 0.27–0.28 (49%)attempts 6–11goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Oleksiak14:31
xG 0.85–0.34 (72%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Larsson – Dunn3:04
xG 0.19–0.04 (84%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Giordano – Soucy11:12
xG 0.23–0.34 (40%)attempts 3–13goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).