Fri, Feb 25, 2022·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Columbus Blue Jackets 0, Carolina Hurricanes 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 90% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 03 | 06 | 010 | 019 |
| CAR | 016 | 222 | 212 | 450 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 9:22CARJordan StaalGWGAssists: Nino Niederreiter, Brett Pesce · Deflected, 0.07 xG0–1
- P2 18:09CARTeuvo TeravainenPPAssists: Sebastian Aho · Snap, 0.14 xG0–2
- P3 1:14CARNino NiederreiterAssists: Jesper Fast, Brady Skjei · Backhand, 0.01 xG0–3
- P3 1:50CARVincent TrocheckAssists: Martin Necas · Snap, 0.13 xG0–4
Penalties (11)
- P1 4:06CARSeth Jarvis: Roughing2 min
- P1 4:06CBJMax Domi: Roughing2 min
- P1 4:06CBJMax Domi: Roughing2 min
- P1 7:47CARSebastian Aho: Tripping2 min
- P1 15:10CBJAdam Boqvist: Cross checking2 min
- P1 18:24CARJalen Chatfield: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:40CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:06CBJJustin Danforth: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 2:13CARJordan Martinook: High sticking2 min
- P3 14:07CARVincent Trocheck: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 14:07CBJSean Kuraly: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sillinger won the faceoff against Kotkaniemi
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Nyquist – Bjorkstrand – Roslovic9:24
xG 0.84–0.91 (48%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
- Gaunce – Danforth – Sillinger10:25
xG 0.38–0.49 (44%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Voracek – Jenner – Laine9:28
xG 0.20–0.59 (25%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Domi – Chinakhov8:52
xG 0.13–0.58 (18%)attempts 3–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Peeke11:35
xG 0.80–0.61 (57%)attempts 10–12goals 0–1
- Kukan – Peeke4:48
xG 0.14–0.26 (35%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Carlsson – Bayreuther10:16
xG 0.26–0.57 (31%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Carolina Hurricanes
Forward lines
- bestStaal – Niederreiter – Fast8:01
xG 0.88–0.02 (98%)attempts 11–3goals 2–0
- Martinook – Lorentz – Kotkaniemi9:18
xG 1.12–0.34 (76%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Trocheck – Necas – Jarvis7:59
xG 0.64–0.40 (62%)attempts 11–4goals 1–0
- Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov9:56
xG 0.49–0.91 (35%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSlavin – Bear9:33
xG 1.03–0.24 (81%)attempts 12–3goals 1–0
- Skjei – Pesce13:40
xG 1.03–0.73 (58%)attempts 15–11goals 2–0
- Cole – Chatfield11:07
xG 0.50–0.32 (61%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CAR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CAR is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 90% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CAR − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).