Fri, Feb 25, 2022·United Center, Chicago
New Jersey Devils 5, Chicago Blackhawks 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 215 | 19 | 212 | 536 |
| CHI | 18 | 316 | 413 | 837 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:34CHIBrandon HagelUnassisted · Wrist, 0.15 xG0–1
- P1 9:41NJDJack HughesAssists: Ryan Graves · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–1
- P1 18:55NJDYegor SharangovichAssists: Jack Hughes, Jonas Siegenthaler · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–1
- P2 1:34CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–2
- P2 11:24CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Seth Jones, Alex DeBrincat · Tip-in, 0.05 xG2–3
- P2 14:09CHIBrandon HagelPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Alex DeBrincat · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–4
- P2 17:43NJDJesper BrattAssists: Damon Severson, Jonas Siegenthaler · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–4
- P3 8:36NJDJonas SiegenthalerAssists: Tomas Tatar, Dougie Hamilton · Wrist, 0.02 xG4–4
- P3 14:04CHIKirby DachAssists: Connor Murphy, Caleb Jones · Backhand, 0.12 xG4–5
- P3 14:45CHIRyan CarpenterGWGAssists: MacKenzie Entwistle, Seth Jones · Backhand, 0.11 xG4–6
- P3 15:45NJDJesper BrattAssists: Damon Severson, Jack Hughes · Snap, 0.07 xG5–6
- P3 18:37CHIPatrick KaneENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.78 xG5–7
- P3 19:32CHIBrandon HagelENAssists: Sam Lafferty, Caleb Jones · Wrist, 0.78 xG5–8
Penalties (13)
- P2 0:30NJDMichael McLeod: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P2 0:30NJDMichael McLeod: Fighting5 min
- P2 0:30CHIRyan Carpenter: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:57CHIErik Gustafsson: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:48NJDNathan Bastian: Slashing2 min
- P2 10:52NJDTy Smith: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 12:16NJDRyan Graves: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 18:23CHIKirby Dach: Slashing2 min
- P3 19:32CHIKirby Dach: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:32CHIBrandon Hagel: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:32NJDP.K. Subban: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:32NJDP.K. Subban: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:32NJDP.K. Subban: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carpenter won the faceoff against McLeod
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Johnsson – Boqvist10:55
xG 0.89–0.32 (73%)attempts 23–9goals 1–0
- Bratt – Sharangovich – Hughes4:12
xG 0.47–0.18 (72%)attempts 10–3goals 2–1
- Zacha – Bratt – Hischier7:52
xG 0.56–0.45 (56%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Vesey – Bastian – McLeod6:38
xG 0.11–0.06 (65%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Siegenthaler2:21
xG 0.21–0.09 (69%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
- Subban – Smith11:46
xG 0.67–0.57 (54%)attempts 16–12goals 0–1
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler13:24
xG 0.67–0.59 (53%)attempts 19–12goals 2–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKubalik – Kurashev – Reichel2:46
xG 0.22–0.02 (93%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Lafferty – Hagel – Dach8:17
xG 0.41–0.21 (66%)attempts 6–9goals 1–1
- Carpenter – Borgstrom – Entwistle5:37
xG 0.11–0.03 (77%)attempts 2–3goals 1–0
- Borgstrom – Kurashev – Dach3:50
xG 0.07–0.14 (32%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Regula2:20
xG 0.23–0.02 (94%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Gustafsson – Regula2:59
xG 0.21–0.02 (93%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Galvas – Regula5:18
xG 0.18–0.09 (67%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).