Fri, Feb 25, 2022·Honda Center, Anaheim
Los Angeles Kings 4, Anaheim Ducks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 111 | 311 | 010 | 432 |
| ANA | 07 | 09 | 19 | 125 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:50LAKCarl GrundstromAssists: Quinton Byfield, Dustin Brown · Tip-in, 0.14 xG1–0
- P2 3:51LAKAdrian KempeGWGAssists: Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.14 xG2–0
- P2 10:11LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Drew Doughty · Slap, 0.09 xG3–0
- P2 12:51LAKAdrian KempeUnassisted · Snap, 0.08 xG4–0
- P3 2:12ANATroy TerryAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Adam Henrique · Snap, 0.10 xG4–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 2:51ANAJakob Silfverberg: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 18:15LAKArthur Kaliyev: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:45ANASam Carrick: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:45LAKJonathan Quick: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:32ANATrevor Zegras: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P2 16:57LAKCarl Grundstrom: Holding2 min
- P2 19:02ANATrevor Zegras: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:44LAKDrew Doughty: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carrick won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Arvidsson – Moore10:42
xG 0.86–0.41 (68%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Iafallo12:30
xG 0.49–0.22 (69%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Lemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev8:52
xG 0.35–0.45 (44%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Brown – Grundstrom – Byfield9:10
xG 0.16–0.39 (29%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDurzi – Bjornfot9:28
xG 0.35–0.07 (83%)attempts 11–5goals 2–0
- Doughty – Anderson17:12
xG 0.69–0.57 (55%)attempts 14–18goals 0–0
- Maatta – Roy14:55
xG 0.82–0.88 (48%)attempts 17–16goals 0–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestRakell – Milano – Steel4:25
xG 0.18–0.07 (72%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Henrique – Terry4:06
xG 0.19–0.12 (62%)attempts 3–3goals 1–0
- Getzlaf – Milano – Terry8:51
xG 0.47–0.50 (49%)attempts 12–10goals 0–1
- Silfverberg – Steel – Lundeström3:48
xG 0.07–0.10 (41%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Shattenkirk – Fowler16:37
xG 0.86–0.81 (51%)attempts 18–12goals 0–0
- Mahura – Benoit11:04
xG 0.44–0.50 (47%)attempts 11–13goals 0–2
- Lindholm – Drysdale15:40
xG 0.38–0.58 (39%)attempts 12–15goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).