Sun, Feb 27, 2022·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 114 | 014 | 212 | 340 |
| CBJ | 113 | 112 | 09 | 234 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:43CBJOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Jack Roslovic, Jakub Voracek · Snap, 0.18 xG0–1
- P1 19:11PITChad RuhwedelAssists: Evgeni Malkin, Kasperi Kapanen · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–1
- P2 8:39CBJJack RoslovicUnassisted · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–2
- P3 11:54PITEvgeni MalkinPPAssists: Bryan Rust, Jake Guentzel · Snap, 0.22 xG2–2
- P3 17:46PITSidney CrosbyGWGAssists: Kris Letang, Bryan Rust · Wrist, 0.44 xG3–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 11:21CBJBoone Jenner: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:48CBJJack Roslovic: Holding2 min
- P2 6:31PITJake Guentzel: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:41CBJGabriel Carlsson: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:41PITZachary Aston-Reese: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:37CBJSean Kuraly: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 17:46CBJJustin Danforth: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P3 19:51CBJJakub Voracek: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Crosby
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestCrosby – Rust – Guentzel13:28
xG 1.31–0.48 (73%)attempts 22–10goals 1–0
- Malkin – Kapanen – Heinen9:40
xG 0.73–0.33 (69%)attempts 12–7goals 1–0
- Carter – McGinn – Rodrigues11:14
xG 0.21–0.36 (37%)attempts 7–9goals 0–1
- Boyle – Simon – Aston-Reese7:15
xG 0.22–0.41 (35%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLetang – Dumoulin14:54
xG 1.04–0.65 (61%)attempts 21–11goals 1–1
- Ruhwedel – Friedman10:52
xG 0.69–0.38 (65%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Pettersson – Marino14:39
xG 0.15–0.60 (20%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDomi – Bemstrom – Sillinger6:11
xG 0.46–0.19 (71%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Jenner – Laine12:40
xG 0.52–0.25 (68%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Voracek – Bjorkstrand – Roslovic10:27
xG 0.34–0.17 (67%)attempts 5–7goals 1–0
- Kuraly – Gaunce – Danforth10:19
xG 0.34–0.73 (32%)attempts 10–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Peeke18:11
xG 0.88–0.45 (66%)attempts 15–17goals 0–1
- Carlsson – Bayreuther8:25
xG 0.77–0.35 (69%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Kukan – Boqvist15:04
xG 0.41–0.92 (31%)attempts 10–19goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).