Sun, Feb 27, 2022·Honda Center, Anaheim
New York Islanders 4, Anaheim Ducks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 17 | 17 | 28 | 422 |
| ANA | 012 | 09 | 013 | 034 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:41NYINoah DobsonGWGAssists: Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Kyle Palmieri · Slap, 0.02 xG1–0
- P2 1:33NYICasey CizikasAssists: Ross Johnston, Cal Clutterbuck · Snap, 0.20 xG2–0
- P3 11:43NYIAndy GreeneAssists: Ross Johnston, Casey Cizikas · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–0
- P3 15:06NYIKieffer BellowsAssists: Oliver Wahlstrom, Sebastian Aho · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–0
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:10NYIBrock Nelson: High sticking2 min
- P1 5:17ANATroy Terry: Tripping2 min
- P1 6:23NYIOliver Wahlstrom: High sticking2 min
- P1 16:55ANATrevor Zegras: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:55NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau: Interference2 min
- P1 18:40ANAKevin Shattenkirk: Interference2 min
- P2 15:28NYIAnders Lee: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:28ANAMaxime Comtois: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lundeström won the faceoff against Nelson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestClutterbuck – Cizikas – Johnston10:39
xG 0.62–0.22 (74%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Bailey – Bellows – Wahlstrom8:39
xG 0.38–0.28 (58%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Parise – Palmieri – Pageau11:45
xG 0.15–0.14 (51%)attempts 6–9goals 1–0
- Lee – Nelson – Beauvillier11:17
xG 0.31–0.42 (42%)attempts 6–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Dobson11:44
xG 0.54–0.18 (75%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Pulock – Aho13:16
xG 0.29–0.32 (48%)attempts 7–14goals 1–0
- Greene – Pulock2:16
xG 0.07–0.13 (36%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestRakell – Milano – Zegras2:02
xG 0.18–0.01 (94%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Milano – Terry5:19
xG 0.19–0.16 (55%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Silfverberg – Steel – Lundeström5:30
xG 0.05–0.03 (64%)attempts 2–3goals 0–1
- Getzlaf – Terry – Steel2:37
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Fowler16:38
xG 0.52–0.13 (80%)attempts 18–7goals 0–1
- Fowler – Mahura2:04
xG 0.11–0.11 (51%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Mahura – Benoit11:29
xG 0.43–0.46 (48%)attempts 12–7goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it NYI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − NYI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).