Mon, Feb 28, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Boston Bruins 7, Los Angeles Kings 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 212 | 311 | 29 | 732 |
| LAK | 09 | 012 | 013 | 034 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:01BOSJake DeBruskGWGAssists: Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 13:37BOSJake DeBruskUnassisted · Snap, 0.15 xG2–0
- P2 0:53BOSJake DeBruskAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Charlie McAvoy · Tip-in, 0.12 xG3–0
- P2 11:40BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand · Tip-in, 0.09 xG4–0
- P2 12:42BOSTaylor HallAssists: David Pastrnak, Charlie McAvoy · Slap, 0.11 xG5–0
- P3 10:11BOSErik HaulaPPAssists: Charlie Coyle, Craig Smith · Tip-in, 0.24 xG6–0
- P3 13:39BOSErik HaulaAssists: Taylor Hall, Jake DeBrusk · Wrist, 0.11 xG7–0
Penalties (7)
- P1 15:12BOSTrent Frederic: Fighting5 min
- P1 15:12LAKBrendan Lemieux: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:16LAKBlake Lizotte: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:23BOSJesper Froden: Holding2 min
- P2 3:02BOSDerek Forbort: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:34LAKSean Durzi: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 8:12LAKDrew Doughty: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lizotte won the faceoff against Coyle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk10:32
xG 0.73–0.22 (77%)attempts 15–6goals 2–0
- Haula – Hall – Pastrnak10:43
xG 0.67–0.60 (53%)attempts 13–14goals 2–0
- Foligno – Nosek – Froden11:57
xG 0.38–0.60 (39%)attempts 9–14goals 0–0
- Smith – Coyle – Frederic12:13
xG 0.09–1.33 (6%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestReilly – McAvoy15:36
xG 1.54–0.51 (75%)attempts 24–14goals 3–0
- Forbort – Clifton16:02
xG 0.51–0.36 (59%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo13:53
xG 0.27–0.42 (39%)attempts 10–11goals 1–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestLemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev9:41
xG 1.14–0.26 (81%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Brown – Grundstrom – Byfield10:42
xG 0.53–0.25 (68%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Iafallo13:51
xG 0.68–0.45 (60%)attempts 15–14goals 0–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore12:04
xG 0.27–0.77 (26%)attempts 7–15goals 0–4
Defence pairs
- bestDurzi – Bjornfot16:33
xG 1.51–0.71 (68%)attempts 20–15goals 0–0
- Maatta – Roy16:27
xG 0.86–0.25 (77%)attempts 18–8goals 0–0
- Doughty – Anderson16:52
xG 0.42–1.21 (26%)attempts 11–21goals 0–4
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).