Tue, Mar 1, 2022·Honda Center, Anaheim
Boston Bruins 3, Anaheim Ducks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 17 | 114 | 113 | 334 |
| ANA | 39 | 07 | 112 | 428 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:33ANARickard RakellPPAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Trevor Zegras · Wrist, 0.30 xG0–1
- P1 8:15BOSNick FolignoAssists: Brandon Carlo, Tomas Nosek · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–1
- P1 17:53ANAIsac LundeströmAssists: Cam Fowler, Jakob Silfverberg · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–2
- P1 19:03ANAAdam HenriqueAssists: Troy Terry, Ryan Getzlaf · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–3
- P2 11:15BOSBrandon CarloAssists: Tomas Nosek, Nick Foligno · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–3
- P3 1:52BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Taylor Hall, Erik Haula · Slap, 0.04 xG3–3
- P3 19:38ANATrevor ZegrasPPGWGAssists: Jamie Drysdale, Ryan Getzlaf · Snap, 0.05 xG3–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 2:20ANASam Carrick: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:20BOSNick Foligno: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 5:35BOSBrad Marchand: Cross checking2 min
- P2 2:51ANADerek Grant: Tripping2 min
- P2 4:03BOSTaylor Hall: Interference2 min
- P3 19:14BOSCharlie McAvoy: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Coyle won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Nosek – Froden9:20
xG 0.51–0.21 (71%)attempts 15–8goals 2–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk14:13
xG 0.49–0.44 (53%)attempts 18–10goals 0–0
- Smith – Coyle – Frederic12:16
xG 0.21–0.34 (39%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Haula – Hall – Pastrnak14:21
xG 0.58–0.71 (45%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestForbort – Clifton8:11
xG 0.36–0.04 (90%)attempts 13–3goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo18:31
xG 0.72–0.74 (49%)attempts 22–16goals 3–1
- Reilly – McAvoy15:51
xG 0.43–0.54 (44%)attempts 15–11goals 0–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Henrique – Terry16:34
xG 0.81–0.54 (60%)attempts 15–16goals 1–0
- Silfverberg – Steel – Lundeström14:37
xG 0.60–0.40 (60%)attempts 10–13goals 1–0
- Grant – Deslauriers – Carrick6:50
xG 0.30–0.26 (54%)attempts 9–11goals 0–2
- Rakell – Milano – Zegras11:38
xG 0.41–0.50 (45%)attempts 9–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Drysdale20:03
xG 1.08–0.61 (64%)attempts 20–19goals 1–0
- Shattenkirk – Fowler5:23
xG 0.27–0.20 (58%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Fowler – Guhle15:24
xG 0.49–0.47 (51%)attempts 11–16goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).