Fri, Mar 4, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York
New Jersey Devils 1, New York Rangers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 112 | 09 | 012 | 133 |
| NYR | 116 | 15 | 111 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:11NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Jacob Trouba, Chris Kreider · Backhand, 0.26 xG0–1
- P1 13:56NJDNico HischierAssists: Andreas Johnsson · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–1
- P2 8:57NYRFilip ChytilGWGAssists: Ryan Lindgren · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–2
- P3 11:23NYRChris KreiderAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Adam Fox · Snap, 0.09 xG1–3
Penalties (10)
- P1 7:43NYRArtemi Panarin: Cross checking2 min
- P1 15:08NYRRyan Reaves: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 19:13NJDP.K. Subban: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:13NYRBarclay Goodrow: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:35NJDMason Geertsen: Cross checking2 min
- P3 5:45NYRRyan Strome: Slashing2 min
- P3 8:27NJDJimmy Vesey: Slashing2 min
- P3 8:27NYRPatrik Nemeth: Slashing2 min
- P3 13:45NJDAndreas Johnsson: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:51NJDP.K. Subban: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Vesey – Boqvist4:47
xG 0.22–0.04 (83%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Johnsson – Bratt – Hischier9:45
xG 0.68–0.64 (51%)attempts 12–11goals 1–2
- Geertsen – Bastian – McLeod6:27
xG 0.14–0.10 (57%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Sharangovich – Hughes – Mercer10:58
xG 0.42–0.63 (40%)attempts 10–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSubban – White10:36
xG 0.51–0.17 (76%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Graves12:28
xG 0.79–0.64 (55%)attempts 19–16goals 0–2
- Subban – Graves2:15
xG 0.00–0.09 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Zibanejad – Lafrenière11:16
xG 0.84–0.32 (72%)attempts 11–9goals 2–1
- Goodrow – Gauthier – Chytil5:53
xG 0.31–0.17 (65%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Strome – Hunt – Panarin12:49
xG 0.62–0.75 (45%)attempts 17–14goals 0–0
- Reaves – Brodzinski – Barron4:42
xG 0.02–0.17 (12%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Miller13:17
xG 0.80–0.56 (59%)attempts 19–16goals 2–0
- Fox – Lindgren15:14
xG 0.93–0.87 (52%)attempts 16–14goals 1–1
- Nemeth – Schneider12:52
xG 0.30–0.25 (55%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).