Sat, Mar 5, 2022·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Boston Bruins 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 112 | 17 | 212 | 01 | 1 | 532 |
| CBJ | 26 | 18 | 19 | 01 | 0 | 424 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:39BOSJake DeBruskAssists: Brad Marchand, Charlie McAvoy · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 16:57CBJGustav NyquistAssists: Boone Jenner, Patrik Laine · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P1 19:00CBJVladislav GavrikovUnassisted · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–2
- P2 1:51BOSErik HaulaAssists: Brad Marchand · Snap, 0.04 xG2–2
- P2 14:28CBJZach WerenskiPPAssists: Jakub Voracek, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–3
- P3 4:40BOSCraig SmithAssists: Connor Clifton, Nick Foligno · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–3
- P3 14:58BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: Taylor Hall, David Pastrnak · Tip-in, 0.19 xG4–3
- P3 19:57CBJJakub VoracekPPAssists: Patrik Laine, Sean Kuraly · Slap, 0.06 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. BOS Charlie Coyle stopped
- 2. CBJ Patrik Laine stopped
- 3. BOS Jake DeBrusk stopped
- 4. CBJ Gustav Nyquist stopped
- 5. BOS David Pastrnak scored
- 6. CBJ Jakub Voracek stopped
Penalties (5)
- P2 3:26CBJDean Kukan: Holding2 min
- P2 5:33BOSCraig Smith: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:13BOSCharlie Coyle: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 14:23CBJOliver Bjorkstrand: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 19:29BOSNick Foligno: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nosek won the faceoff against Kuraly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestHaula – Hall – Pastrnak11:47
xG 0.41–0.19 (69%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Foligno – Smith – Coyle3:40
xG 0.24–0.03 (89%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk11:39
xG 0.44–0.23 (65%)attempts 11–8goals 1–1
- Foligno – Lazar – Nosek6:37
xG 0.10–0.11 (49%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestForbort – Clifton11:27
xG 0.37–0.12 (76%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy6:57
xG 0.40–0.18 (70%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Forbort – McAvoy4:20
xG 0.25–0.04 (86%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestBemstrom – Chinakhov – Sillinger4:38
xG 0.15–0.02 (90%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Voracek – Bjorkstrand – Roslovic10:47
xG 0.21–0.38 (36%)attempts 8–15goals 0–1
- Kuraly – Domi – Danforth13:36
xG 0.40–0.65 (38%)attempts 7–15goals 1–1
- Nyquist – Jenner – Laine12:55
xG 0.34–0.68 (33%)attempts 15–16goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestKukan – Gavrikov15:59
xG 0.69–0.29 (70%)attempts 19–13goals 2–0
- Gavrikov – Peeke2:17
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Carlsson – Bayreuther8:47
xG 0.15–0.30 (33%)attempts 7–8goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).