Tue, Mar 8, 2022·United Center, Chicago
Anaheim Ducks 3, Chicago Blackhawks 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 06 | 319 | 07 | 332 |
| CHI | 513 | 27 | 112 | 832 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:38CHIDylan StromeAssists: Patrick Kane, Alex DeBrincat · Snap, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 7:05CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Patrick Kane, Dylan Strome · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–2
- P1 13:53CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Jake McCabe · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–3
- P1 17:14CHIRyan CarpenterGWGAssists: Patrick Kane, Caleb Jones · Tip-in, 0.13 xG0–4
- P1 19:32CHIJonathan ToewsSHAssists: Brandon Hagel · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–5
- P2 0:19CHIBrandon HagelAssists: Jake McCabe, Connor Murphy · Backhand, 0.12 xG0–6
- P2 4:31ANAJakob SilfverbergAssists: Sam Steel, Josh Mahura · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–6
- P2 7:19ANATrevor ZegrasPPAssists: Sam Steel, Hampus Lindholm · Snap, 0.11 xG2–6
- P2 7:57ANAAdam HenriqueAssists: Cam Fowler, Maxime Comtois · Tip-in, 0.07 xG3–6
- P2 14:50CHIDylan StromeAssists: Patrick Kane, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–7
- P3 17:16CHIDylan StromeAssists: Patrick Kane, Alex DeBrincat · Wrist, 0.15 xG3–8
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:09ANATrevor Zegras: High sticking2 min
- P1 11:42CHIJake McCabe: Slashing2 min
- P1 17:49CHIConnor Murphy: Boarding2 min
- P1 17:49CHIKirby Dach: Roughing2 min
- P1 17:49ANANicolas Deslauriers: Roughing2 min
- P2 6:32CHIConnor Murphy: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 17:45CHICalvin de Haan: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 4:24ANAKevin Shattenkirk: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Henrique
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestHenrique – Terry – Comtois10:28
xG 0.49–0.43 (53%)attempts 14–7goals 1–2
- Rakell – Milano – Zegras9:29
xG 0.15–0.22 (39%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Grant – Deslauriers – Carrick7:14
xG 0.12–0.39 (23%)attempts 4–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Benoit9:09
xG 0.29–0.11 (72%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Fowler – Guhle7:58
xG 0.25–0.13 (66%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Shattenkirk – Guhle2:13
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Strome – DeBrincat13:19
xG 1.11–0.48 (70%)attempts 18–10goals 5–1
- Toews – Hagel – Dach10:16
xG 0.33–0.12 (73%)attempts 11–6goals 1–0
- Carpenter – Lafferty – Borgstrom7:54
xG 0.07–0.15 (33%)attempts 3–10goals 0–0
- Johnson – Kubalik – Kurashev8:05
xG 0.01–0.19 (4%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestde Haan – Jones13:35
xG 0.54–0.23 (70%)attempts 11–8goals 2–0
- Jones – Regula12:38
xG 0.57–0.51 (52%)attempts 9–11goals 2–1
- Murphy – McCabe16:58
xG 0.33–0.46 (42%)attempts 12–21goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).