Thu, Mar 10, 2022·FLA Live Arena, Sunrise
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Florida Panthers 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 015 | 316 | 06 | 337 |
| FLA | 418 | 07 | 212 | 637 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:26FLACarter VerhaegheAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Aaron Ekblad · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 14:12FLASam ReinhartPPAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Aaron Ekblad · Tip-in, 0.12 xG0–2
- P1 18:11FLASam ReinhartPPAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Aleksander Barkov · Wrist, 0.31 xG0–3
- P1 19:30FLACarter VerhaegheGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–4
- P2 9:01PHIJames van RiemsdykAssists: Kevin Hayes · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–4
- P2 12:23PHICam AtkinsonAssists: Derick Brassard, Claude Giroux · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–4
- P2 18:52PHITravis KonecnyPPAssists: Cam York, Rasmus Ristolainen · Tip-in, 0.09 xG3–4
- P3 6:59FLAAnthony DuclairPPAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Aaron Ekblad · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–5
- P3 17:54FLASam ReinhartENAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Aaron Ekblad · Backhand, 0.78 xG3–6
Penalties (13)
- P1 6:52FLACarter Verhaeghe: Tripping2 min
- P1 13:03PHIRasmus Ristolainen: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 17:49PHIRasmus Ristolainen: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 19:58FLASam Bennett: Slashing2 min
- P2 7:03PHITravis Konecny: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:03FLAPetteri Lindbohm: Fighting5 min
- P2 16:47FLAMaxim Mamin: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 16:47PHIJames van Riemsdyk: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:16FLACarter Verhaeghe: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:23PHIGerry Mayhew: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 14:05FLAMason Marchment: Slashing2 min
- P3 14:05PHIZack MacEwen: Misconduct10 min
- P3 14:05PHIZack MacEwen: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Brassard won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestLaughton – Lindblom – Konecny3:53
xG 0.35–0.11 (76%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Hayes – Farabee7:51
xG 0.39–0.37 (51%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
- Brown – Lindblom – Konecny3:18
xG 0.17–0.18 (49%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Hayes – Mayhew – Farabee2:00
xG 0.00–0.19 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – York8:32
xG 0.71–0.61 (54%)attempts 14–11goals 0–1
- Ristolainen – Sanheim18:36
xG 0.94–1.03 (48%)attempts 16–26goals 1–1
- Braun – Provorov16:09
xG 0.49–1.14 (30%)attempts 12–21goals 1–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestVerhaeghe – Barkov – Mamin10:37
xG 1.09–0.16 (87%)attempts 21–6goals 2–0
- Reinhart – Marchment – Luostarinen9:37
xG 0.54–0.25 (69%)attempts 18–4goals 0–0
- Hornqvist – Vatrano – Acciari8:03
xG 0.29–0.25 (54%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Huberdeau – Duclair – Bennett7:48
xG 0.65–1.04 (38%)attempts 7–19goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestWeegar – Ekblad14:43
xG 1.38–0.22 (86%)attempts 25–8goals 1–0
- Ekblad – Forsling2:30
xG 0.18–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Weegar – Montour2:07
xG 0.21–0.11 (66%)attempts 3–2goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).