Thu, Mar 10, 2022·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
New York Rangers 2, St. Louis Blues 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 111 | 114 | 04 | 229 |
| STL | 316 | 39 | 010 | 635 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:05STLRobert ThomasAssists: Jordan Kyrou, Colton Parayko · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 13:50STLIvan BarbashevAssists: Brandon Saad, Torey Krug · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–2
- P1 15:41STLRobert ThomasGWGAssists: Jordan Kyrou, Vladimir Tarasenko · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–3
- P1 18:37NYRRyan StromePPAssists: Adam Fox, Igor Shesterkin · Slap, 0.07 xG1–3
- P2 0:15STLRyan O'ReillyAssists: Brayden Schenn, David Perron · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–4
- P2 7:07STLJake WalmanAssists: Robert Bortuzzo, Ryan O'Reilly · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–5
- P2 7:45STLDavid PerronAssists: Marco Scandella, Brayden Schenn · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–6
- P2 12:23NYRK'Andre MillerPPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Adam Fox · Tip-in, 0.08 xG2–6
Penalties (10)
- P1 4:31NYRRyan Lindgren: Hooking2 min
- P1 5:24NYRJonny Brodzinski: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 8:05NYRRyan Lindgren: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:48STLRobert Bortuzzo: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
- P2 4:52STLNiko Mikkola: Fighting5 min
- P2 4:52NYRDryden Hunt: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:20STLJordan Kyrou: Cross checking2 min
- P2 11:19STLJustin Faulk: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 14:31NYRAlexis Lafrenière: Roughing2 min
- P3 14:31STLDavid Perron: Holding the stick2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00O'Reilly won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestGauthier – Gettinger – Chytil7:09
xG 0.40–0.24 (63%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Strome – Hunt – Panarin10:04
xG 0.58–0.50 (53%)attempts 12–8goals 0–1
- Reaves – Goodrow – Brodzinski10:40
xG 0.04–0.20 (17%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Lafrenière8:49
xG 0.00–0.46 (0%)attempts 4–12goals 0–3
Defence pairs
- bestNemeth – Schneider9:14
xG 0.76–0.31 (71%)attempts 13–6goals 0–1
- Nemeth – Miller2:32
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Nemeth – Fox2:29
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestTarasenko – Kyrou – Thomas10:53
xG 0.68–0.48 (59%)attempts 11–11goals 2–0
- Perron – O'Reilly – Schenn6:48
xG 0.18–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–2goals 2–0
- Perron – O'Reilly – Saad2:37
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- MacEachern – Thomas – Toropchenko2:38
xG 0.31–0.22 (58%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFaulk – Krug13:45
xG 0.76–0.12 (86%)attempts 15–9goals 1–0
- Bortuzzo – Mikkola7:35
xG 0.30–0.11 (73%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Parayko – Walman3:32
xG 0.39–0.23 (63%)attempts 3–4goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).