Thu, Mar 10, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
San Jose Sharks 4, Los Angeles Kings 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 114 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 430 |
| LAK | 216 | 110 | 010 | 00 | 336 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:39SJSBrent BurnsPPAssists: Erik Karlsson, Logan Couture · Slap, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 5:58LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Trevor Moore, Andreas Athanasiou · Wrist, 0.26 xG1–1
- P1 6:06LAKAndreas AthanasiouAssists: Trevor Moore, Olli Maatta · Snap, 0.05 xG1–2
- P2 10:40LAKTrevor MooreSHAssists: Phillip Danault · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–3
- P2 12:13SJSNick BoninoPPAssists: Jonathan Dahlen, Jake Middleton · Snap, 0.44 xG2–3
- P3 1:21SJSAlexander BarabanovAssists: Erik Karlsson, Tomas Hertl · Tip-in, 0.10 xG3–3
- OT 1:13SJSTomas HertlGWGAssists: Alexander Barabanov, Brent Burns · Backhand, 0.12 xG4–3
Penalties (10)
- P1 2:07LAKQuinton Byfield: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 10:55LAKDustin Brown: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:33SJSJonathan Dahlen: Slashing2 min
- P2 7:12LAKJaret Anderson-Dolan: Holding2 min
- P2 10:18LAKSean Durzi: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 13:46SJSJaycob Megna: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:51SJSScott Reedy: Cross checking2 min
- P3 8:19LAKBlake Lizotte: Holding2 min
- P3 13:57LAKArthur Kaliyev: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:00SJSTomas Hertl: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCogliano – Bonino – Nieto7:52
xG 0.24–0.17 (58%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Gregor – Gadjovich – Reedy8:11
xG 0.23–0.32 (41%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
- Hertl – Balcers – Barabanov8:16
xG 0.45–0.58 (43%)attempts 15–8goals 1–0
- Couture – Meier – Dahlen7:24
xG 0.78–1.00 (44%)attempts 8–16goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Meloche10:41
xG 0.90–0.28 (77%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Megna13:03
xG 0.48–0.96 (33%)attempts 14–16goals 1–1
- Burns – Middleton11:41
xG 0.43–1.11 (28%)attempts 7–17goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Kaliyev6:26
xG 0.61–0.18 (78%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Iafallo3:54
xG 0.64–0.27 (70%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
- Brown – Iafallo – Byfield6:20
xG 0.13–0.10 (57%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Grundstrom – Anderson-Dolan – Lizotte6:15
xG 0.24–0.27 (47%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMaatta – Roy15:45
xG 1.69–1.12 (60%)attempts 24–19goals 2–0
- Durzi – Bjornfot10:56
xG 0.60–0.54 (53%)attempts 18–12goals 0–1
- Moverare – Spence7:59
xG 0.18–0.19 (49%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).