Fri, Mar 11, 2022·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Minnesota Wild 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 110 | 112 | 011 | 05 | 0 | 238 |
| CBJ | 114 | 03 | 110 | 01 | 1 | 328 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:31CBJEgor ChinakhovPPAssists: Jake Bean, Max Domi · Snap, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 19:34MINKirill KaprizovPPAssists: Mats Zuccarello, Kevin Fiala · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 13:33MINMats ZuccarelloAssists: Jared Spurgeon, Ryan Hartman · Tip-in, 0.09 xG2–1
- P3 19:28CBJZach WerenskiAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Gustav Nyquist · Snap, 0.04 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. MIN Mats Zuccarello stopped
- 2. CBJ Gustav Nyquist stopped
- 3. MIN Kevin Fiala stopped
- 4. CBJ Egor Chinakhov scored
- 5. MIN Kirill Kaprizov stopped
Penalties (13)
- P1 11:55MINDmitry Kulikov: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 13:52MINJon Merrill: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:56MINJordan Greenway: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 18:35CBJZach Werenski: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 19:18CBJSean Kuraly: Roughing2 min
- P2 3:19CBJEmil Bemstrom: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:51CBJEric Robinson: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:10CBJAndrew Peeke: Cross checking2 min
- P3 9:56MINMarcus Foligno: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 9:56CBJElvis Merzlikins: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 13:03CBJSean Kuraly: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:14CBJGustav Nyquist: Cross checking2 min
- P3 15:14MINKevin Fiala: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuraly won the faceoff against Eriksson Ek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Greenway – Eriksson Ek10:39
xG 0.53–0.00 (100%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Gaudreau – Fiala – Boldy7:32
xG 0.71–0.23 (75%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Duhaime – Dewar5:42
xG 0.14–0.05 (73%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov9:11
xG 0.37–0.29 (56%)attempts 9–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestKulikov – Merrill12:35
xG 0.63–0.02 (96%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Spurgeon11:14
xG 0.75–0.31 (71%)attempts 14–10goals 1–0
- Brodin – Dumba14:21
xG 0.43–0.26 (63%)attempts 12–14goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestVoracek – Bjorkstrand – Roslovic5:28
xG 0.18–0.13 (58%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Bemstrom – Chinakhov – Sillinger5:18
xG 0.05–0.22 (19%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Jenner – Laine7:11
xG 0.08–0.37 (18%)attempts 10–9goals 0–1
- Kuraly – Domi – Robinson7:32
xG 0.00–0.66 (0%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Peeke4:51
xG 0.12–0.01 (90%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Werenski – Bean3:54
xG 0.11–0.09 (55%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Bean6:41
xG 0.11–0.24 (32%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).