Sat, Mar 12, 2022·Prudential Center, Newark
Anaheim Ducks 1, New Jersey Devils 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 18 | 09 | 015 | 02 | 0 | 134 |
| NJD | 015 | 111 | 011 | 03 | 2 | 240 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:02ANATroy TerryAssists: Maxime Comtois, Josh Manson · Snap, 0.05 xG1–0
- P2 2:39NJDTomas TatarAssists: Jesper Boqvist · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. NJD Tomas Tatar scored
- 2. ANA Trevor Zegras stopped
- 3. NJD Jesper Bratt scored
- 4. ANA Troy Terry stopped
Penalties (5)
- P2 10:41ANABuddy Robinson: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:11ANASonny Milano: Cross checking2 min
- P3 2:16NJDTy Smith: Slashing2 min
- P3 5:38NJDJimmy Vesey: Slashing2 min
- OT 4:14ANACam Fowler: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Henrique won the faceoff against Hughes
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestHenrique – Terry – Comtois10:17
xG 0.85–0.50 (63%)attempts 11–14goals 1–0
- Henrique – Rakell – Comtois4:13
xG 0.18–0.09 (67%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Rakell – Milano – Zegras8:27
xG 0.41–0.42 (49%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Carrick – Robinson6:36
xG 0.31–0.33 (48%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFowler – Manson14:28
xG 0.90–0.73 (55%)attempts 16–17goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Sustr15:57
xG 0.49–0.55 (47%)attempts 15–17goals 0–0
- Manson – Mahura2:11
xG 0.03–0.11 (21%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestVesey – Zacha – Mercer7:44
xG 0.68–0.39 (63%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Sharangovich – Hughes – Mercer4:01
xG 0.40–0.20 (67%)attempts 8–3goals 0–1
- Tatar – Johnsson – Boqvist5:53
xG 0.28–0.13 (69%)attempts 8–2goals 1–0
- Vesey – Johnsson – Boqvist5:03
xG 0.31–0.18 (64%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSubban – Smith12:44
xG 0.71–0.51 (58%)attempts 17–9goals 1–0
- Hamilton – Smith2:06
xG 0.11–0.01 (93%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Severson – Siegenthaler13:36
xG 0.60–0.55 (52%)attempts 11–17goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).