Sat, Mar 12, 2022·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Los Angeles Kings 0, San Jose Sharks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 015 | 08 | 06 | 029 |
| SJS | 311 | 112 | 14 | 527 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:19SJSTimo MeierPPGWGAssists: Brent Burns, Nick Bonino · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 11:55SJSMatt NietoAssists: Nick Bonino · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–2
- P1 19:11SJSJonathan DahlenAssists: Timo Meier · Wrist, 0.15 xG0–3
- P2 8:05SJSTomas HertlPPAssists: Logan Couture, Timo Meier · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–4
- P3 15:04SJSTomas HertlAssists: Rudolfs Balcers, Alexander Barabanov · Wrist, 0.27 xG0–5
Penalties (6)
- P1 7:55LAKMatt Roy: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 12:40SJSTimo Meier: Holding2 min
- P2 7:45LAKBlake Lizotte: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
- P3 2:28SJSJeffrey Viel: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:28LAKJaret Anderson-Dolan: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:57LAKJordan Spence: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bonino won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Andersson – Byfield4:15
xG 0.63–0.20 (76%)attempts 9–5goals 0–1
- Danault – Moore – Kaliyev11:05
xG 0.45–0.44 (51%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Grundstrom – Anderson-Dolan – Lizotte9:20
xG 0.15–0.33 (31%)attempts 4–8goals 0–1
- Andersson – Kaliyev – Byfield2:11
xG 0.05–0.29 (14%)attempts 2–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMaatta – Spence17:12
xG 1.20–0.47 (72%)attempts 26–14goals 0–1
- Moverare – Durzi2:55
xG 0.13–0.05 (71%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Bjornfot – Spence2:05
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Meier – Dahlen10:27
xG 0.86–0.11 (89%)attempts 15–10goals 1–0
- Hertl – Balcers – Barabanov11:57
xG 0.57–0.28 (67%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Cogliano – Bonino – Nieto9:52
xG 0.22–0.47 (32%)attempts 4–11goals 1–0
- Viel – Gadjovich – Reedy8:54
xG 0.25–0.84 (23%)attempts 5–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Middleton17:37
xG 1.11–0.33 (77%)attempts 18–17goals 2–0
- Vlasic – Meloche14:38
xG 0.26–0.40 (39%)attempts 7–14goals 1–0
- Karlsson – Megna15:07
xG 0.41–1.22 (25%)attempts 12–22goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).