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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 13, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 58% of the time.

PIT winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:33Shot by Friedman, saved by Raanta
  3. P1 4:44Shot by Kapanen, saved by Raanta
  4. P1 5:13Shot by Bear, saved by Jarry
  5. P1 5:19Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 6:13Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Jarry
  7. P1 8:27Shot by Martinook, saved by Jarry
  8. P1 8:59Kotkaniemi: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Letang, Kapanen, Friedman, Zohorna · CAR Cole, Stepan, Lorentz, Chatfield, Kotkaniemi

  9. P1 12:34Shot by Pesce, saved by Jarry
  10. P1 13:25Shot by Staal, saved by Jarry
  11. P1 13:39Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Raanta
  12. P1 14:09Shot by Slavin, saved by Jarry
  13. P1 14:57Martinook: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Blueger, Ruhwedel, Friedman, Aston-Reese · CAR Cole, Trocheck, Martinook, Chatfield, Svechnikov

  14. P1 15:44Shot by Rust, saved by Raanta5v4
  15. P1 17:52Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Jarry
  16. P1 18:10Shot by Staal, saved by Jarry
  17. P1 18:50Goal by Boyle (Blueger, Marino)+22 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Dumoulin, Blueger, Marino, Aston-Reese · CAR Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Bear, Necas

  18. P1 18:56Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Raanta
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:43Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Raanta
  22. P2 2:29Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Jarry
  23. P2 3:51Shot by Boyle, saved by Raanta
  24. P2 4:38Shot by Slavin, saved by Jarry
  25. P2 4:49Shot by Bear, saved by Jarry
  26. P2 5:20Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Raanta
  27. P2 5:59Shot by Marino, saved by Raanta
  28. P2 6:10Shot by Stepan, saved by Jarry
  29. P2 6:16Shot by Slavin, saved by Jarry
  30. P2 7:35Shot by Pesce, saved by Jarry
  31. P2 8:29Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Raanta
  32. P2 8:30Shot by Heinen, saved by Raanta
  33. P2 10:14Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Jarry
  34. P2 10:20Shot by Pesce, saved by Jarry
  35. P2 10:20Shot by Skjei, saved by Jarry
  36. P2 10:32Shot by Bear, saved by Jarry
  37. P2 11:14Goal by Heinen (Matheson, Rodrigues)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Matheson, Heinen, Rodrigues · CAR Staal, Niederreiter, Fast, Slavin, Bear

  38. P2 11:35Shot by Rust, saved by Raanta
  39. P2 11:40Shot by Rust, saved by Raanta
  40. P2 11:50Shot by Skjei, saved by Jarry
  41. P2 13:08Letang: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Letang, Matheson, Kapanen, Zohorna · CAR Cole, Teravainen, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov

  42. P2 14:23Shot by Aho, saved by Jarry4v5
  43. P2 14:33Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Raanta4v5
  44. P2 16:00Shot by Pesce, saved by Jarry
  45. P2 16:12Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Jarry
  46. P2 17:30Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Raanta
  47. P2 17:38Shot by Guentzel, saved by Raanta
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 2:18Shot by Stepan, saved by Jarry
  51. P3 2:45Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Jarry
  52. P3 3:11Shot by Skjei, saved by Jarry
  53. P3 4:40Goal by Pesce (Trocheck, Skjei)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Ruhwedel, Friedman, Heinen, Rodrigues · CAR Trocheck, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce, Necas

  54. P3 7:03Shot by Aho, saved by Jarry
  55. P3 7:28Shot by Teravainen, saved by Jarry
  56. P3 7:30Shot by Teravainen, saved by Jarry
  57. P3 8:09Cole: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Dumoulin, Blueger, Marino, Aston-Reese · CAR Cole, Trocheck, Martinook, Chatfield, Necas

  58. P3 8:49Shot by Staal, saved by Jarry5v4
  59. P3 9:02Shot by Slavin, saved by Jarry5v4
  60. P3 9:34Shot by Carter, saved by Raanta5v4
  61. P3 12:54Shot by Staal, saved by Jarry
  62. P3 14:09Shot by Martinook, saved by Jarry
  63. P3 14:45Shot by Pesce, saved by Jarry
  64. P3 15:00Shot by Skjei, saved by Jarry
  65. P3 15:15Shot by Chatfield, saved by Jarry
  66. P3 15:18Shot by Slavin, saved by Jarry
  67. P3 16:56Shot by Pesce, saved by Jarry
  68. P3 17:06Shot by Kapanen, saved by Raanta
  69. P3 17:22Shot by Aho, saved by Jarry
  70. P3 18:21Goal by Crosby (Boyle, Letang)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Crosby, Letang, Matheson, Aston-Reese · CAR Staal, Niederreiter, Fast, Trocheck, Skjei, Pesce

  71. P3 18:34Shot by Staal, saved by Jarry5v6
  72. P3 18:35Goal by Aho (Staal, Teravainen)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Letang, Matheson, Blueger, Aston-Reese · CAR Staal, Trocheck, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov

  73. P3 18:58Shot by Trocheck, saved by Jarry5v6
  74. P3 19:48Goal by Aston-Reese (Carter)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Blueger, Ruhwedel, Marino, Aston-Reese · CAR Staal, Trocheck, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final