Sun, Mar 13, 2022·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Vegas Golden Knights 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 28 | 17 | 112 | 427 |
| CBJ | 316 | 214 | 18 | 638 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:12CBJPatrik LainePPAssists: Gustav Nyquist, Jack Roslovic · Slap, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 3:13VGKJonathan MarchessaultUnassisted · Snap, 0.12 xG1–1
- P1 7:23VGKWilliam CarrierAssists: Nicolas Roy, Chandler Stephenson · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–1
- P1 11:53CBJCole SillingerAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Dean Kukan · Snap, 0.16 xG2–2
- P1 12:23CBJOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Max Domi, Dean Kukan · Slap, 0.09 xG2–3
- P2 5:36CBJCole SillingerAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Andrew Peeke · Tip-in, 0.08 xG2–4
- P2 7:26CBJCole SillingerGWGAssists: Max Domi, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Slap, 0.08 xG2–5
- P2 8:28VGKEvgenii DadonovAssists: Keegan Kolesar, Alex Pietrangelo · Deflected, 0.06 xG3–5
- P3 2:40VGKJack EichelPPAssists: Chandler Stephenson, Jonathan Marchessault · Wrist, 0.36 xG4–5
- P3 19:49CBJEric RobinsonENAssists: Zach Werenski · Wrist, 0.78 xG4–6
Penalties (9)
- P1 2:03VGKNolan Patrick: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 13:19CBJSean Kuraly: Holding2 min
- P1 15:52CBJMax Domi: Roughing2 min
- P1 15:52VGKNicolas Hague: Roughing2 min
- P1 15:52VGKAlex Pietrangelo: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:21CBJAndrew Peeke: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:09VGKJack Eichel: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:06CBJSean Kuraly: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 10:06CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Roslovic won the faceoff against Eichel
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestStephenson – Carrier – Roy8:49
xG 0.56–0.42 (57%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Amadio – Leschyshyn – Rondbjerg7:08
xG 0.20–0.06 (76%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Kolesar – Patrick6:04
xG 0.31–0.54 (36%)attempts 5–8goals 1–2
- Karlsson – Marchessault – Eichel12:17
xG 0.45–0.90 (33%)attempts 13–12goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestHague – Whitecloud2:17
xG 0.43–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Pietrangelo – Whitecloud2:36
xG 0.28–0.05 (85%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
- Hague – Miromanov2:30
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestBjorkstrand – Domi – Sillinger11:34
xG 0.93–0.38 (71%)attempts 15–10goals 4–1
- Nyquist – Roslovic – Laine11:31
xG 0.73–0.41 (64%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Bemstrom – Chinakhov3:24
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Gaunce – Bemstrom – Fix-Wolansky2:19
xG 0.01–0.05 (19%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Bean3:02
xG 0.72–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–0goals 0–0
- Werenski – Peeke14:08
xG 0.63–0.38 (62%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Gavrikov – Bean11:26
xG 0.50–0.41 (55%)attempts 7–11goals 1–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).