Sun, Mar 13, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Florida Panthers 2, Los Angeles Kings 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 011 | 210 | 06 | 05 | 1 | 232 |
| LAK | 16 | 013 | 112 | 06 | 2 | 337 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:50LAKRasmus KupariAssists: Quinton Byfield, Jordan Spence · Backhand, 0.05 xG0–1
- P2 0:43FLAEetu LuostarinenSHAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau · Snap, 0.22 xG1–1
- P2 3:44FLABrandon MontourAssists: Patric Hornqvist, Aleksander Barkov · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–1
- P3 19:28LAKMartin FrkPPAssists: Sean Durzi · Slap, 0.14 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Gabriel Vilardi stopped
- 2. FLA Jonathan Huberdeau stopped
- 3. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 4. FLA Aleksander Barkov scored
- 5. LAK Adrian Kempe scored
- 6. FLA Sam Reinhart stopped
- 7. LAK Quinton Byfield stopped
- 8. FLA Eetu Luostarinen stopped
- 9. LAK Trevor Moore scored
- 10. FLA Anthony Duclair stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 5:34LAKPhillip Danault: Slashing2 min
- P1 14:03LAKArthur Kaliyev: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:33FLACarter Verhaeghe: Slashing2 min
- P2 10:44FLAMaxim Mamin: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:48FLAJonathan Huberdeau: Elbowing2 min · PPG
- P3 18:48FLAJonathan Huberdeau: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:48LAKAnze Kopitar: Roughing2 min
- OT 2:26FLAAaron Ekblad: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestHornqvist – Vatrano – Acciari8:58
xG 0.31–0.05 (86%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Huberdeau – Duclair – Barkov2:08
xG 0.13–0.01 (91%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Verhaeghe – Barkov – Mamin9:40
xG 0.32–0.30 (51%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
- Huberdeau – Duclair – Bennett9:22
xG 0.51–0.56 (48%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindbohm – Montour7:33
xG 0.47–0.34 (58%)attempts 6–7goals 1–1
- Weegar – Ekblad17:03
xG 0.64–0.57 (53%)attempts 14–16goals 0–0
- Montour – Forsling2:21
xG 0.10–0.13 (44%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Moore – Kaliyev13:54
xG 1.06–0.53 (67%)attempts 26–6goals 0–0
- Vilardi – Kupari – Byfield10:21
xG 0.31–0.15 (68%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Iafallo11:51
xG 0.41–0.52 (44%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Frk – Grundstrom – Lizotte7:13
xG 0.06–0.31 (16%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDurzi – Bjornfot15:38
xG 1.08–0.55 (66%)attempts 21–12goals 0–0
- Maatta – Spence15:24
xG 0.56–0.52 (52%)attempts 16–9goals 1–0
- Moverare – Strand11:50
xG 0.33–0.34 (49%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).