Tue, Mar 15, 2022·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
New Jersey Devils 3, Vancouver Canucks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 110 | 214 | 011 | 335 |
| VAN | 213 | 211 | 27 | 631 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:34VANBrad HuntAssists: J.T. Miller, Tanner Pearson · Slap, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 10:59VANNils HoglanderAssists: Bo Horvat, Brock Boeser · Backhand, 0.19 xG0–2
- P1 17:17NJDRyan GravesAssists: Yegor Sharangovich · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P2 4:25NJDJack HughesAssists: Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–2
- P2 8:34VANBo HorvatUnassisted · Slap, 0.11 xG2–3
- P2 8:51VANTanner PearsonGWGAssists: Tyler Myers, J.T. Miller · Deflected, 0.15 xG2–4
- P2 11:55NJDNathan BastianAssists: Yegor Sharangovich, Jack Hughes · Backhand, 0.17 xG3–4
- P3 1:24VANBo HorvatSHAssists: Quinn Hughes, J.T. Miller · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–5
- P3 12:10VANJuho LammikkoAssists: Luke Schenn, Tyler Motte · Deflected, 0.11 xG3–6
Penalties (3)
- P2 18:02VANTyler Motte: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 9:05NJDColton White: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:11VANBo Horvat: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Miller
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestBratt – Sharangovich – Hughes10:14
xG 0.77–0.46 (63%)attempts 16–8goals 1–2
- Sharangovich – Hughes – Mercer4:13
xG 0.31–0.02 (94%)attempts 6–2goals 1–0
- Vesey – Bastian – McLeod4:51
xG 0.15–0.10 (61%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Johnsson – Hischier – Mercer5:19
xG 0.11–0.16 (40%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamilton – Graves16:38
xG 0.71–0.29 (71%)attempts 14–15goals 1–1
- Subban – Smith12:10
xG 0.68–0.69 (50%)attempts 14–12goals 2–2
- Severson – White14:34
xG 0.32–0.54 (37%)attempts 9–11goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMiller – Pearson – Garland13:52
xG 1.08–0.64 (63%)attempts 14–13goals 1–0
- Chiasson – Petan – Podkolzin6:49
xG 0.16–0.05 (75%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Horvat – Boeser – Hoglander11:34
xG 0.41–0.67 (38%)attempts 12–10goals 1–0
- Motte – Lammikko – Highmore11:09
xG 0.13–0.73 (15%)attempts 4–12goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestSchenn – Hughes16:24
xG 1.48–0.67 (69%)attempts 19–16goals 3–0
- Hamonic – Hunt14:40
xG 0.24–0.54 (31%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Myers – Ekman-Larsson14:57
xG 0.31–1.15 (21%)attempts 9–19goals 1–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).