Tue, Mar 15, 2022·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Florida Panthers 3, San Jose Sharks 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 17 | 09 | 116 | 12 | 334 |
| SJS | 211 | 012 | 03 | 00 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:19SJSLogan CouturePPAssists: Tomas Hertl, Timo Meier · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–1
- P1 11:21FLAJonathan HuberdeauSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–1
- P1 13:58SJSNicolas MelocheAssists: Tomas Hertl, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P3 3:29FLAFrank VatranoAssists: Noel Acciari · Slap, 0.14 xG2–2
- OT 1:11FLAFrank VatranoGWGAssists: Gustav Forsling, Sam Reinhart · Slap, 0.09 xG3–2
Penalties (11)
- P1 7:10FLARadko Gudas: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 10:20FLAAleksander Barkov: High sticking2 min
- P2 6:19SJSJonah Gadjovich: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:38FLAMason Marchment: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:38SJSNicolas Meloche: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:11FLASam Bennett: Holding2 min
- P2 12:50FLAMacKenzie Weegar: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 15:14SJSAlexander Barabanov: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:14FLAJonathan Huberdeau: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:26FLAMacKenzie Weegar: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 11:37SJSAndrew Cogliano: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestReinhart – Marchment – Luostarinen3:39
xG 0.58–0.00 (100%)attempts 10–1goals 0–0
- Duclair – Marchment – Luostarinen4:37
xG 0.41–0.05 (89%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Hornqvist – Vatrano – Acciari6:27
xG 0.21–0.02 (93%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Huberdeau – Reinhart – Bennett5:02
xG 0.30–0.10 (75%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGudas – Lindbohm4:29
xG 0.55–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–0goals 0–0
- Gudas – Forsling7:19
xG 0.47–0.05 (90%)attempts 11–1goals 1–0
- Weegar – Ekblad9:38
xG 0.43–0.06 (87%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Cogliano – Bonino – Nieto2:59
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Cogliano – Gadjovich – Reedy2:56
xG 0.00–0.15 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Bonino – Nieto – Balcers5:58
xG 0.05–0.28 (16%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Couture – Meier – Dahlen9:27
xG 0.00–0.28 (0%)attempts 2–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Burns – Megna11:59
xG 0.21–0.34 (38%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Middleton12:17
xG 0.14–0.51 (22%)attempts 8–20goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Meloche10:00
xG 0.12–0.91 (12%)attempts 4–19goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).