Fri, Mar 18, 2022·Honda Center, Anaheim
Florida Panthers 3, Anaheim Ducks 0
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 91% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 219 | 115 | 08 | 342 |
| ANA | 04 | 08 | 05 | 017 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:54FLAJonathan HuberdeauPPGWGAssists: Sam Reinhart, Anthony Duclair · Slap, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 19:53FLAJonathan HuberdeauAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Mason Marchment · Snap, 0.11 xG2–0
- P2 3:44FLAJoe ThorntonAssists: Noel Acciari, Carter Verhaeghe · Tip-in, 0.20 xG3–0
Penalties (13)
- P1 3:13FLAMason Marchment: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 7:31FLARadko Gudas: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:31ANANicolas Deslauriers: Misconduct10 min
- P1 7:31ANANicolas Deslauriers: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:31ANANicolas Deslauriers: Instigator2 min
- P1 12:41ANASam Steel: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 15:10ANAJosh Mahura: Roughing2 min
- P1 15:10FLAJonathan Huberdeau: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:57ANAJohn Gibson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 15:39ANAAdam Henrique: Holding2 min
- P3 18:37FLAMason Marchment: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:37ANAMaxime Comtois: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:37ANAMaxime Comtois: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Luostarinen won the faceoff against Carrick
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestHuberdeau – Duclair – Bennett6:20
xG 0.92–0.21 (82%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Verhaeghe – Barkov – Mamin3:54
xG 0.37–0.00 (100%)attempts 10–0goals 0–0
- Thornton – Acciari – Luostarinen4:02
xG 0.12–0.03 (80%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Huberdeau – Duclair – Barkov2:38
xG 0.09–0.08 (53%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWeegar – Carlsson12:53
xG 1.09–0.16 (87%)attempts 26–5goals 1–0
- Lindbohm – Montour12:56
xG 1.02–0.35 (75%)attempts 19–7goals 0–0
- Montour – Forsling2:46
xG 0.30–0.16 (65%)attempts 3–3goals 1–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- Grant – Terry – Zegras3:23
xG 0.22–0.18 (56%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Robinson – Steel2:43
xG 0.03–0.02 (66%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Carrick – Robinson3:38
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Henrique – Carrick – Comtois4:14
xG 0.07–0.15 (32%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Mahura2:00
xG 0.19–0.09 (68%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Fowler – Sustr2:50
xG 0.07–0.22 (24%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Fowler – Drysdale12:05
xG 0.42–0.58 (42%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 91% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).