Wed, Jan 12, 2022·TD Garden, Boston
Montréal Canadiens 1, Boston Bruins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 06 | 19 | 010 | 125 |
| BOS | 313 | 115 | 113 | 541 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:43BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Tomas Nosek, Curtis Lazar · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 14:58BOSBrad MarchandGWGAssists: Craig Smith, Patrice Bergeron · Snap, 0.25 xG0–2
- P1 19:10BOSCurtis LazarAssists: Jake DeBrusk, Matt Grzelcyk · Deflected, 0.15 xG0–3
- P2 7:10BOSBrad MarchandSHAssists: John Moore, Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.22 xG0–4
- P2 10:46MTLMichael PezzettaAssists: Brett Kulak · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–4
- P3 10:19BOSCurtis LazarAssists: Urho Vaakanainen, Anton Blidh · Deflected, 0.08 xG1–5
Penalties (18)
- P1 9:22MTLJeff Petry: Playing without a helmet2 min
- P2 3:18BOSPatrice Bergeron: Slashing2 min
- P2 6:41BOSErik Haula: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:50MTLBen Chiarot: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:49BOSPatrice Bergeron: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:41MTLNick Suzuki: Holding2 min
- P2 19:10MTLBrett Kulak: Slashing2 min
- P3 0:47BOSCraig Smith: Tripping2 min
- P3 5:48BOSBrad Marchand: Interference2 min
- P3 6:57BOSBrandon Carlo: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:57MTLMichael Pezzetta: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:57MTLChris Wideman: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:57BOSErik Haula: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:57MTLChris Wideman: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 15:05BOSLinus Ullmark: Interference2 min
- P3 15:05MTLLaurent Dauphin: Embellishment2 min
- P3 15:05BOSErik Haula: Fighting5 min
- P3 15:05MTLLaurent Dauphin: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Suzuki
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- Paquette – Vejdemo – Pezzetta2:03
xG 0.02–0.02 (50%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Armia – Drouin – Dvorak4:40
xG 0.01–0.13 (9%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Lehkonen – Suzuki7:32
xG 0.08–0.25 (24%)attempts 3–4goals 0–1
- Drouin – Dvorak – Pezzetta3:46
xG 0.05–0.30 (13%)attempts 1–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Kulak – Niku2:16
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Petry – Kulak11:03
xG 0.22–0.50 (30%)attempts 3–12goals 1–0
- Wideman – Niku11:24
xG 0.48–0.82 (37%)attempts 11–11goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Smith8:21
xG 0.94–0.20 (83%)attempts 16–4goals 1–0
- Coyle – DeBrusk – Steen8:26
xG 0.51–0.02 (97%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Blidh – Lazar – Nosek8:18
xG 0.30–0.04 (89%)attempts 6–2goals 1–0
- Haula – Hall – Pastrnak7:09
xG 0.17–0.41 (29%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – McAvoy8:54
xG 0.99–0.12 (89%)attempts 20–3goals 2–0
- Reilly – Carlo11:31
xG 0.84–0.13 (86%)attempts 14–3goals 0–0
- Carlo – Vaakanainen3:05
xG 0.32–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).