Tue, Mar 22, 2022·Prudential Center, Newark
New York Rangers 4, New Jersey Devils 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 214 | 09 | 212 | 435 |
| NJD | 011 | 513 | 27 | 731 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:10NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Chris Kreider, Alexis Lafrenière · Snap, 0.30 xG1–0
- P1 13:55NYRAdam FoxAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Andrew Copp · Snap, 0.06 xG2–0
- P2 7:12NJDRyan GravesAssists: Jesper Bratt · Snap, 0.06 xG2–1
- P2 8:30NJDP.K. SubbanAssists: Andreas Johnsson, Ty Smith · Slap, 0.04 xG2–2
- P2 12:40NJDDawson MercerAssists: Ryan Graves · Snap, 0.38 xG2–3
- P2 13:13NJDTomas TatarAssists: Damon Severson, Jesper Bratt · Snap, 0.24 xG2–4
- P2 18:07NJDYegor SharangovichGWGAssists: Nico Hischier, Dougie Hamilton · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–5
- P3 3:46NYRRyan StromeAssists: Artemi Panarin, Ryan Lindgren · Tip-in, 0.11 xG3–5
- P3 9:36NJDJack HughesPPAssists: Nico Hischier · Snap, 0.26 xG3–6
- P3 10:46NJDJack HughesAssists: Yegor Sharangovich, P.K. Subban · Backhand, 0.11 xG3–7
- P3 14:56NYRChris KreiderPPAssists: Andrew Copp, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.28 xG4–7
Penalties (4)
- P1 9:53NYRMika Zibanejad: High sticking2 min
- P2 13:32NYRRyan Reaves: Slashing2 min
- P3 7:53NYRRyan Strome: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min · PPG
- P3 14:32NJDJimmy Vesey: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestReaves – Goodrow – Motte6:02
xG 0.37–0.04 (90%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Motte – Vatrano – Chytil3:28
xG 0.15–0.03 (83%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Copp – Hunt – Chytil6:33
xG 0.43–0.38 (53%)attempts 11–8goals 0–2
- Strome – Goodrow – Panarin4:08
xG 0.12–0.08 (60%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren13:35
xG 1.29–0.92 (58%)attempts 17–8goals 3–3
- Trouba – Miller16:36
xG 0.96–0.60 (62%)attempts 21–10goals 0–1
- Braun – Nemeth16:13
xG 0.24–1.19 (17%)attempts 9–15goals 0–2
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Bratt – Hischier5:53
xG 1.08–0.02 (98%)attempts 9–4goals 2–0
- Vesey – Johnsson – Boqvist7:40
xG 0.40–0.31 (57%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
- Tatar – Vesey – Boqvist4:21
xG 0.18–0.15 (55%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Sharangovich – Hughes – Mercer13:06
xG 0.80–1.00 (45%)attempts 9–12goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Graves13:49
xG 1.69–1.02 (62%)attempts 14–13goals 3–1
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler13:34
xG 0.54–0.43 (56%)attempts 11–12goals 2–1
- Graves – Siegenthaler2:14
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).