Tue, Mar 22, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 17 | 07 | 013 | 127 |
| PIT | 012 | 420 | 15 | 537 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:37CBJGustav NyquistPPAssists: Zach Werenski, Jakub Voracek · Backhand, 0.38 xG1–0
- P2 2:40PITRadim ZohornaAssists: Brian Boyle, Chad Ruhwedel · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–1
- P2 3:16PITJake GuentzelGWGAssists: Sidney Crosby, Evan Rodrigues · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–2
- P2 7:28PITBryan RustUnassisted · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–3
- P2 14:06PITJake GuentzelAssists: Sidney Crosby, Mike Matheson · Snap, 0.26 xG1–4
- P3 8:54PITEvgeni MalkinPPAssists: Bryan Rust, Sidney Crosby · Snap, 0.16 xG1–5
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:44CBJGabriel Carlsson: Interference2 min
- P1 7:27PITMike Matheson: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P1 19:36CBJJustin Danforth: Holding2 min
- P3 1:22PITRadim Zohorna: Interference2 min
- P3 7:44CBJJake Bean: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 8:50CBJAndrew Peeke: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:24PITEvgeni Malkin: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Roslovic won the faceoff against Crosby
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestVoracek – Bjorkstrand – Sillinger7:10
xG 0.44–0.39 (53%)attempts 9–7goals 0–2
- Gaunce – Bemstrom – Chinakhov3:38
xG 0.13–0.12 (51%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Voracek – Kuraly – Bjorkstrand2:38
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Gaunce – Danforth – Chinakhov4:02
xG 0.18–0.21 (45%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Gavrikov – Bean11:14
xG 0.19–0.46 (29%)attempts 6–12goals 0–2
- Werenski – Peeke13:10
xG 0.31–0.66 (32%)attempts 8–12goals 0–1
- Peeke – Bean3:25
xG 0.10–0.61 (14%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestCrosby – Guentzel – Rodrigues9:52
xG 1.18–0.15 (88%)attempts 10–6goals 2–0
- Boyle – Blueger – Zohorna7:37
xG 0.76–0.39 (66%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Malkin – Rust – Heinen8:32
xG 0.39–0.19 (67%)attempts 7–8goals 1–0
- Malkin – Crosby – Guentzel2:24
xG 0.06–0.06 (47%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRuhwedel – Pettersson12:04
xG 0.57–0.17 (77%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Letang – Dumoulin11:38
xG 0.66–0.28 (70%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Matheson – Marino10:49
xG 0.51–0.48 (52%)attempts 10–12goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PIT's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PIT is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PIT − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).