Tue, Mar 22, 2022·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Vegas Golden Knights 0, Winnipeg Jets 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 017 | 012 | 013 | 042 |
| WPG | 04 | 211 | 211 | 426 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 6:16WPGPierre-Luc DuboisPPGWGAssists: Blake Wheeler, Kyle Connor · Backhand, 0.25 xG0–1
- P2 15:14WPGMark ScheifeleAssists: Nikolaj Ehlers, Dylan DeMelo · Tip-in, 0.10 xG0–2
- P3 11:06WPGNeal PionkAssists: Kyle Connor, Paul Stastny · Slap, 0.03 xG0–3
- P3 13:51WPGNikolaj EhlersAssists: Mark Scheifele, Blake Wheeler · Tip-in, 0.13 xG0–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 13:27VGKPaul Cotter: Hooking2 min
- P1 14:28WPGBlake Wheeler: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:38VGKDaniil Miromanov: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 8:45WPGEvgeny Svechnikov: Slashing2 min
- P3 1:02WPGNeal Pionk: Hooking2 min
- P3 9:24WPGPierre-Luc Dubois: Cross checking2 min
- P3 9:24VGKNolan Patrick: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Karlsson won the faceoff against Scheifele
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestStephenson – Carrier – Roy7:24
xG 1.04–0.28 (79%)attempts 16–4goals 0–1
- Janmark – Carrier – Roy2:35
xG 0.24–0.04 (87%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Marchessault – Eichel8:39
xG 0.37–0.22 (63%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Marchessault – Stephenson – Eichel3:19
xG 0.04–0.04 (46%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTheodore – Coghlan14:26
xG 1.13–0.25 (82%)attempts 21–8goals 0–0
- Hayes – Miromanov9:31
xG 1.07–0.31 (78%)attempts 14–5goals 0–1
- Hutton – Coghlan2:18
xG 0.02–0.02 (49%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestWheeler – Scheifele – Ehlers12:35
xG 0.87–0.47 (65%)attempts 14–12goals 2–0
- Toninato – Harkins – Brooks4:25
xG 0.24–0.26 (48%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Stastny – Sanford – Appleton9:43
xG 0.34–0.38 (47%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Connor – Svechnikov – Dubois11:13
xG 0.02–1.41 (1%)attempts 1–18goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDeMelo – Morrissey14:13
xG 0.70–0.41 (63%)attempts 12–15goals 2–0
- Dillon – Morrissey2:29
xG 0.30–0.25 (55%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Schmidt – Stanley12:34
xG 0.62–0.93 (40%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).