Wed, Mar 23, 2022·Honda Center, Anaheim
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Anaheim Ducks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 19 | 17 | 212 | 428 |
| ANA | 14 | 014 | 111 | 229 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:11CHITaylor RaddyshPPAssists: Dylan Strome, Patrick Kane · Snap, 0.11 xG1–0
- P1 13:40ANASam CarrickAssists: Buddy Robinson, Maxime Comtois · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 11:37CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Seth Jones · Slap, 0.11 xG2–1
- P3 13:28ANASam CarrickAssists: Adam Henrique, Trevor Zegras · Deflected, 0.12 xG2–2
- P3 16:10CHIDylan StromeGWGAssists: Riley Stillman, Patrick Kane · Tip-in, 0.12 xG3–2
- P3 18:57CHIAlex DeBrincatENAssists: Jonathan Toews, Jake McCabe · Wrist, 0.63 xG4–2
Penalties (6)
- P1 9:46ANAKevin Shattenkirk: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 14:38CHIDominik Kubalik: Slashing2 min
- P2 11:15ANAAndrej Sustr: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 13:15ANAGerry Mayhew: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:00CHIReese Johnson: Fighting5 min
- P3 9:00ANASimon Benoit: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carrick won the faceoff against Dach
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestLafferty – Kurashev – Dach14:04
xG 0.47–0.32 (59%)attempts 11–15goals 0–0
- Kane – Strome – DeBrincat16:49
xG 0.84–0.85 (50%)attempts 11–17goals 1–0
- Katchouk – Entwistle – Johnson5:15
xG 0.13–0.35 (27%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
- Toews – Kubalik – Raddysh10:05
xG 0.24–0.57 (29%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Stillman3:08
xG 0.37–0.09 (81%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
- Gustafsson – Stillman12:26
xG 0.61–0.37 (62%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- McCabe – Jones15:35
xG 0.54–0.69 (44%)attempts 8–18goals 0–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestHenrique – Mayhew – Zegras2:18
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Steel – Lettieri – Lundeström5:00
xG 0.12–0.10 (56%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Henrique – Mayhew – Comtois2:57
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Henrique – Mayhew – Aston-Reese5:45
xG 0.00–0.27 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Fowler4:49
xG 0.34–0.10 (77%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – Guhle12:46
xG 0.37–0.25 (60%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Sustr – Benoit12:40
xG 0.43–0.44 (49%)attempts 8–14goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).