Thu, Mar 24, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Los Angeles Kings 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 15 | 211 | 012 | 03 | 1 | 431 |
| LAK | 012 | 219 | 113 | 02 | 0 | 346 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:44CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Erik Gustafsson · Wrist, 0.21 xG1–0
- P2 2:13LAKTrevor MooreSHAssists: Sean Durzi · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
- P2 12:41CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Dylan Strome, Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.10 xG2–1
- P2 16:50LAKPhillip DanaultPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Sean Durzi · Backhand, 0.17 xG2–2
- P2 18:09CHISam LaffertyAssists: Taylor Raddysh, Seth Jones · Backhand, 0.08 xG3–2
- P3 9:07LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Sean Durzi · Backhand, 0.16 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. LAK Adrian Kempe stopped
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 3. LAK Gabriel Vilardi stopped
- 4. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 5. LAK Trevor Moore stopped
- 6. CHI Alex DeBrincat scored
Penalties (6)
- P1 8:58CHIKirby Dach: Slashing2 min
- P2 2:05LAKTroy Stecher: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:27LAKSean Durzi: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:36CHIHenrik Borgstrom: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P3 1:04LAKOlli Maatta: Hooking2 min
- OT 4:32LAKGabriel Vilardi: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dach won the faceoff against Byfield
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Strome – DeBrincat15:24
xG 1.32–0.70 (65%)attempts 14–20goals 2–0
- Toews – Raddysh – Borgstrom7:32
xG 0.30–0.35 (46%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
- Toews – Katchouk – Raddysh2:15
xG 0.00–0.26 (0%)attempts 0–6goals 0–0
- Katchouk – Entwistle – Johnson7:59
xG 0.31–0.92 (26%)attempts 4–18goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Stillman5:50
xG 0.92–0.38 (71%)attempts 7–9goals 2–0
- McCabe – Jones15:54
xG 1.26–0.72 (64%)attempts 12–23goals 0–0
- McCabe – Jones2:01
xG 0.03–0.04 (40%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestGrundstrom – Lizotte – Kaliyev5:57
xG 0.64–0.04 (94%)attempts 10–2goals 0–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore12:01
xG 1.29–1.24 (51%)attempts 22–12goals 1–1
- Vilardi – Kupari – Byfield11:31
xG 0.28–0.57 (33%)attempts 12–8goals 0–1
- Kopitar – Kempe – Iafallo14:03
xG 0.60–1.16 (34%)attempts 17–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Stecher12:01
xG 1.40–0.32 (81%)attempts 24–7goals 1–0
- Moverare – Durzi17:49
xG 0.77–1.21 (39%)attempts 16–15goals 0–2
- Maatta – Spence15:56
xG 0.78–1.63 (32%)attempts 20–14goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).