Fri, Feb 11, 2022·Honda Center, Anaheim
Seattle Kraken 4, Anaheim Ducks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 26 | 115 | 16 | 427 |
| ANA | 111 | 211 | 05 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:00SEARyan DonatoAssists: Austin Czarnik, Morgan Geekie · Slap, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 2:12ANAIsac LundeströmAssists: Jakob Silfverberg · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–1
- P1 14:41SEAVince DunnAssists: Yanni Gourde, Calle Jarnkrok · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–1
- P2 5:34ANAIsac LundeströmAssists: Derek Grant, Troy Terry · Tip-in, 0.16 xG2–2
- P2 8:34ANARickard RakellPPAssists: Jamie Drysdale, Trevor Zegras · Tip-in, 0.15 xG2–3
- P2 13:35SEARyan DonatoAssists: Yanni Gourde · Snap, 0.09 xG3–3
- P3 18:18SEAJordan EberleGWGAssists: Riley Sheahan, Mark Giordano · Wrist, 0.08 xG4–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 2:02SEAJamie Oleksiak: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:02ANANicolas Deslauriers: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:35SEAYanni Gourde: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 15:00ANAJohn Gibson: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:49SEAMorgan Geekie: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:50ANAJakob Silfverberg: Interference2 min
- P3 15:57ANATrevor Zegras: Slashing2 min
- P3 15:57SEAVince Dunn: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lundeström won the faceoff against Gourde
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- Jarnkrok – Gourde – Appleton14:03
xG 0.43–0.40 (52%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
- Donato – Czarnik – Geekie9:30
xG 0.37–0.42 (47%)attempts 10–5goals 1–1
- Sheahan – Donskoi – Blackwell7:59
xG 0.16–0.27 (37%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- Eberle – Wennberg – McCann13:18
xG 0.31–1.59 (16%)attempts 9–18goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGiordano – Larsson14:24
xG 0.48–0.38 (56%)attempts 14–8goals 1–1
- Dunn – Lauzon15:20
xG 0.39–0.91 (30%)attempts 9–16goals 1–0
- Oleksiak – Fleury11:40
xG 0.30–1.15 (21%)attempts 10–17goals 1–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGrant – Silfverberg – Lundeström11:51
xG 1.15–0.30 (79%)attempts 16–7goals 1–0
- Getzlaf – Henrique – Terry14:57
xG 0.92–0.21 (81%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
- Rakell – Milano – Zegras9:36
xG 0.30–0.33 (48%)attempts 8–8goals 0–2
- Deslauriers – Robinson – Steel7:22
xG 0.17–0.28 (37%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Drysdale17:18
xG 1.28–0.24 (84%)attempts 19–8goals 1–0
- Shattenkirk – Benoit14:55
xG 0.98–0.43 (70%)attempts 15–13goals 1–1
- Fowler – Mahura14:48
xG 0.47–0.71 (40%)attempts 13–19goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).