Sat, Mar 26, 2022·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Anaheim Ducks 1, San Jose Sharks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 08 | 012 | 18 | 128 |
| SJS | 16 | 18 | 210 | 424 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:48SJSMarc-Edouard VlasicAssists: Ryan Merkley, Scott Reedy · Snap, 0.07 xG0–1
- P2 1:41SJSTimo MeierGWGAssists: Alexander Barabanov · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–2
- P3 1:05ANAGerry MayhewAssists: Dominik Simon · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–2
- P3 3:56SJSTimo MeierPPAssists: Alexander Barabanov, Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–3
- P3 15:55SJSTimo MeierAssists: Tomas Hertl, Brent Burns · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–4
Penalties (13)
- P1 3:50SJSRyan Merkley: Holding2 min
- P1 11:13SJSNicolas Meloche: High sticking2 min
- P2 6:42SJSJonah Gadjovich: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:42ANASam Carrick: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:23ANARyan Getzlaf: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:44SJSTimo Meier: Slashing2 min
- P2 16:02ANAJosh Mahura: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 2:54ANAKevin Shattenkirk: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 18:18ANATrevor Zegras: Cross checking2 min
- P3 18:18ANAJamie Drysdale: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:18SJSJeffrey Viel: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:18SJSJeffrey Viel: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:21SJSSasha Chmelevski: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pederson won the faceoff against Lundeström
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Simon – Mayhew9:42
xG 0.39–0.18 (69%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Carrick – Aston-Reese – Lundeström7:22
xG 0.05–0.18 (24%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
- Grant – Terry – Zegras9:26
xG 0.30–0.43 (41%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
- Steel – Lettieri – Comtois6:18
xG 0.03–0.47 (7%)attempts 6–11goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestSustr – Benoit11:56
xG 0.59–0.38 (61%)attempts 12–12goals 1–1
- Shattenkirk – Benoit2:36
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Fowler – Drysdale16:17
xG 0.16–0.51 (24%)attempts 10–16goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestPederson – Viel – Gadjovich7:41
xG 0.29–0.01 (96%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Chmelevski – Reedy – Leonard7:53
xG 0.30–0.08 (79%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Bonino – Balcers – Gregor9:27
xG 0.38–0.31 (55%)attempts 9–10goals 0–1
- Hertl – Meier – Barabanov9:24
xG 0.41–0.55 (43%)attempts 8–12goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Megna12:36
xG 0.65–0.17 (79%)attempts 17–8goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Merkley12:01
xG 0.43–0.07 (86%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Karlsson – Meloche12:07
xG 0.43–0.69 (38%)attempts 11–11goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).