Sun, Mar 27, 2022·Prudential Center, Newark
Montréal Canadiens 2, New Jersey Devils 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 08 | 110 | 113 | 02 | 3 | 233 |
| NJD | 113 | 15 | 014 | 00 | 4 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:16NJDJack HughesUnassisted · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–1
- P2 14:16NJDJack HughesPPAssists: Jesper Bratt, Damon Severson · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–2
- P2 17:36MTLJosh AndersonAssists: Jesse Ylonen, Chris Wideman · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–2
- P3 19:18MTLRem PitlickAssists: Christian Dvorak, Cole Caufield · Wrist, 0.22 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. NJD Tomas Tatar stopped
- 2. MTL Cole Caufield scored
- 3. NJD Jesper Bratt scored
- 4. MTL Rem Pitlick scored
- 5. NJD Jack Hughes scored
- 6. MTL Nick Suzuki stopped
- 7. NJD Damon Severson stopped
- 8. MTL Christian Dvorak stopped
- 9. NJD Nico Hischier stopped
- 10. MTL Joel Armia stopped
- 11. NJD Dougie Hamilton scored
- 12. MTL Mike Hoffman scored
- 13. NJD Yegor Sharangovich scored
- 14. MTL Paul Byron stopped
Penalties (7)
- P2 8:24NJDDawson Mercer: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 12:21MTLJosh Anderson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 14:31NJDMiles Wood: High sticking2 min
- P2 15:35NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Interference2 min
- P3 1:07MTLMike Hoffman: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:12NJDDougie Hamilton: Interference2 min
- P3 11:09NJDDawson Mercer: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Suzuki won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestHoffman – Suzuki – Caufield2:00
xG 0.58–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Anderson – Suzuki – Caufield9:28
xG 0.94–0.69 (58%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Byron – Armia – Evans2:17
xG 0.00–0.11 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Anderson – Dvorak – Pitlick2:00
xG 0.13–0.38 (26%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWideman – Schueneman7:34
xG 0.93–0.56 (62%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Edmundson – Barron13:53
xG 0.53–0.65 (45%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Savard – Romanov16:00
xG 0.66–1.21 (35%)attempts 8–19goals 0–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestSharangovich – Hughes – Mercer13:39
xG 0.97–0.06 (95%)attempts 20–3goals 1–0
- Tatar – Bratt – Hischier10:59
xG 1.15–0.48 (71%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Vesey – Greer – McLeod5:38
xG 0.34–0.13 (72%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Wood – Bastian – Boqvist7:53
xG 0.49–1.38 (26%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSubban – Bahl7:52
xG 1.05–0.26 (80%)attempts 17–4goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler14:17
xG 0.72–0.45 (62%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Bahl2:05
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).