Mon, Mar 28, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Seattle Kraken 6, Los Angeles Kings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 213 | 110 | 315 | 638 |
| LAK | 19 | 011 | 017 | 137 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:14SEAAlexander WennbergAssists: Ryan Donato, Vince Dunn · Backhand, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 5:23LAKArthur KaliyevPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Viktor Arvidsson · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–1
- P1 8:24SEAAdam LarssonGWGAssists: Vince Dunn · Snap, 0.03 xG2–1
- P2 13:55SEAVictor RaskAssists: Yanni Gourde, Karson Kuhlman · Snap, 0.06 xG3–1
- P3 7:05SEAJordan EberleUnassisted · Snap, 0.12 xG4–1
- P3 7:34SEAJared McCannAssists: Morgan Geekie, Jamie Oleksiak · Wrist, 0.10 xG5–1
- P3 12:13SEADaniel SprongAssists: Riley Sheahan, Joonas Donskoi · Deflected, 0.05 xG6–1
Penalties (4)
- P1 4:29SEAKole Lind: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 7:38LAKArthur Kaliyev: High sticking2 min
- P3 12:01SEAVince Dunn: Fighting5 min
- P3 12:01LAKSean Durzi: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wennberg won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Wennberg – Donato12:43
xG 1.25–0.51 (71%)attempts 13–11goals 2–0
- Sheahan – Donskoi – Sprong10:32
xG 0.52–0.37 (58%)attempts 6–10goals 1–0
- Rask – Gourde – Kuhlman12:31
xG 0.93–1.12 (45%)attempts 12–16goals 1–0
- McCann – Lind – Geekie12:04
xG 0.40–0.85 (32%)attempts 14–10goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Soucy15:16
xG 1.64–0.82 (67%)attempts 16–17goals 1–0
- Larsson – Dunn18:33
xG 1.14–1.09 (51%)attempts 17–20goals 3–0
- Pouliot – Borgen14:51
xG 0.48–1.00 (32%)attempts 14–14goals 1–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Kempe – Iafallo7:53
xG 0.84–0.31 (73%)attempts 10–8goals 0–1
- Vilardi – Andersson – Kupari5:17
xG 0.39–0.03 (92%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Vilardi – Kupari – Byfield6:08
xG 0.34–0.09 (80%)attempts 4–6goals 0–1
- Grundstrom – Kaliyev – Byfield7:05
xG 0.36–0.23 (61%)attempts 7–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDurzi – Bjornfot17:10
xG 0.65–0.54 (55%)attempts 17–15goals 0–3
- Maatta – Stecher17:08
xG 0.90–1.12 (44%)attempts 12–18goals 0–1
- Moverare – Spence16:58
xG 0.87–1.54 (36%)attempts 21–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).