Thu, Mar 31, 2022·TD Garden, Boston
New Jersey Devils 1, Boston Bruins 8
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 17 | 010 | 09 | 126 |
| BOS | 212 | 616 | 012 | 840 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:57BOSMatt GrzelcykUnassisted · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–1
- P1 11:02NJDJack HughesAssists: Nico Hischier, Damon Severson · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–1
- P1 16:09BOSJake DeBruskGWGAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Hampus Lindholm · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–2
- P2 2:22BOSErik HaulaAssists: David Pastrnak · Snap, 0.24 xG1–3
- P2 6:33BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Jake DeBrusk, Matt Grzelcyk · Snap, 0.06 xG1–4
- P2 9:01BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: David Pastrnak, Charlie McAvoy · Deflected, 0.09 xG1–5
- P2 10:34BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Mike Reilly, Patrice Bergeron · Snap, 0.06 xG1–6
- P2 12:04BOSMarc McLaughlinAssists: Trent Frederic · Snap, 0.17 xG1–7
- P2 16:12BOSTaylor HallAssists: David Pastrnak · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–8
Penalties (12)
- P1 2:56BOSJoshua Brown: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:56NJDMason Geertsen: Fighting5 min
- P1 4:16NJDMiles Wood: Roughing2 min
- P1 4:16BOSMike Reilly: Roughing2 min
- P1 4:16BOSMike Reilly: Roughing2 min
- P1 8:49BOSHampus Lindholm: Holding2 min
- P2 2:44NJDP.K. Subban: Holding2 min
- P2 8:30NJDJesper Boqvist: Delaying game face off violation2 min · PPG
- P3 1:10BOSErik Haula: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:26NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 17:03BOSCharlie Coyle: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:03NJDMason Geertsen: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestBratt – Sharangovich – Hughes4:11
xG 0.09–0.03 (74%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Sharangovich – Hughes – Mercer6:23
xG 0.24–0.24 (50%)attempts 6–7goals 0–2
- Tatar – Hischier – Mercer5:21
xG 0.16–0.20 (45%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
- Vesey – Wood – Boqvist9:00
xG 0.07–0.29 (20%)attempts 2–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamilton – Graves2:46
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Subban – Smith11:20
xG 0.46–0.44 (51%)attempts 8–13goals 0–1
- Hamilton – Siegenthaler10:11
xG 0.45–0.47 (49%)attempts 9–10goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk9:49
xG 1.16–0.22 (84%)attempts 19–4goals 3–0
- Haula – Hall – Pastrnak10:32
xG 0.72–0.36 (67%)attempts 10–9goals 3–0
- Coyle – Frederic – McLaughlin10:29
xG 0.55–0.37 (60%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Blidh – Lazar – Nosek9:52
xG 0.20–0.22 (47%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – Carlo12:57
xG 1.09–0.45 (71%)attempts 19–10goals 3–0
- Lindholm – McAvoy14:46
xG 0.84–0.65 (56%)attempts 17–14goals 1–0
- Reilly – Brown8:29
xG 0.40–0.25 (61%)attempts 5–4goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).