Fri, Apr 1, 2022·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Vegas Golden Knights 5, Seattle Kraken 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 18 | 28 | 210 | 526 |
| SEA | 05 | 010 | 213 | 228 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:28VGKJack EichelAssists: Alec Martinez, Chandler Stephenson · Deflected, 0.14 xG1–0
- P2 1:26VGKJack EichelAssists: Evgenii Dadonov · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–0
- P2 7:20VGKShea TheodoreGWGAssists: Evgenii Dadonov, Chandler Stephenson · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–0
- P3 10:44SEAAlexander WennbergAssists: Jared McCann, Will Borgen · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–1
- P3 17:44VGKJonathan MarchessaultENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.50 xG4–1
- P3 18:22SEAKole LindAssists: Ryan Donato, Derrick Pouliot · Snap, 0.06 xG4–2
- P3 19:28VGKWilliam KarlssonENAssists: Brayden McNabb, Alex Pietrangelo · Wrist, 0.45 xG5–2
Penalties (7)
- P2 8:43SEAJared McCann: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:43VGKMichael Amadio: Fighting5 min
- P2 14:29VGKPavel Dorofeyev: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 19:56SEAYanni Gourde: Fighting5 min
- P2 19:56VGKBen Hutton: Fighting5 min
- P3 14:14SEAAdam Larsson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 18:54VGKMattias Janmark: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Karlsson won the faceoff against Gourde
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestKarlsson – Marchessault – Amadio11:56
xG 0.59–0.40 (60%)attempts 12–9goals 0–1
- Dadonov – Stephenson – Eichel13:00
xG 0.79–0.81 (49%)attempts 10–24goals 3–0
- Janmark – Roy – Leschyshyn6:44
xG 0.13–0.16 (45%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Janmark – Roy – Rondbjerg4:04
xG 0.04–0.14 (22%)attempts 1–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcNabb – Theodore14:47
xG 0.48–0.42 (53%)attempts 11–12goals 1–1
- Pietrangelo – Coghlan2:08
xG 0.06–0.04 (63%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Pietrangelo – Hutton13:34
xG 0.39–0.44 (47%)attempts 5–16goals 1–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestRask – Gourde – Kuhlman9:33
xG 0.36–0.12 (76%)attempts 11–3goals 0–1
- Donskoi – Sprong – Geekie10:13
xG 0.45–0.25 (64%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Eberle – Wennberg – McCann10:27
xG 0.34–0.48 (41%)attempts 10–9goals 1–1
- Sheahan – Donato – Lind9:21
xG 0.26–0.65 (29%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestPouliot – Borgen13:17
xG 0.53–0.13 (80%)attempts 19–5goals 1–0
- Oleksiak – Soucy13:25
xG 0.57–0.80 (42%)attempts 13–9goals 0–3
- Larsson – Dunn20:48
xG 0.38–0.87 (30%)attempts 20–16goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).