Sat, Apr 2, 2022·TD Garden, Boston
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Boston Bruins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 15 | 115 | 04 | 224 |
| BOS | 115 | 112 | 315 | 542 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:09BOSErik HaulaAssists: Taylor Hall, Charlie McAvoy · Snap, 0.28 xG0–1
- P1 19:32CBJGustav NyquistAssists: Cole Sillinger, Adam Boqvist · Snap, 0.22 xG1–1
- P2 0:42CBJJustin DanforthAssists: Egor Chinakhov, Sean Kuraly · Snap, 0.34 xG2–1
- P2 18:13BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Jake DeBrusk · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–2
- P3 16:06BOSErik HaulaPPGWGAssists: Brandon Carlo, Hampus Lindholm · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–3
- P3 18:00BOSJake DeBruskENAssists: Brad Marchand, Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.71 xG2–4
- P3 19:54BOSCharlie CoyleENAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.70 xG2–5
Penalties (2)
- P2 3:27BOSTaylor Hall: Slashing2 min
- P3 14:06CBJAndrew Peeke: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuraly won the faceoff against Nosek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Danforth – Chinakhov11:39
xG 0.60–0.41 (59%)attempts 12–10goals 1–0
- Gaunce – Bemstrom – Robinson8:15
xG 0.59–0.65 (48%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Bjorkstrand – Sillinger11:40
xG 0.62–0.80 (44%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
- Voracek – Roslovic – Laine13:42
xG 0.13–1.04 (11%)attempts 5–15goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestBayreuther – Boqvist12:35
xG 0.82–0.51 (61%)attempts 11–14goals 1–0
- Gavrikov – Peeke18:24
xG 0.66–1.01 (39%)attempts 11–18goals 0–0
- Kukan – Bean19:04
xG 0.79–1.57 (34%)attempts 16–25goals 1–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestHaula – Hall – Pastrnak13:32
xG 1.11–0.14 (89%)attempts 17–3goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk12:11
xG 1.00–0.36 (74%)attempts 16–10goals 1–1
- Smith – Coyle – Frederic13:39
xG 0.84–0.76 (53%)attempts 18–15goals 0–1
- Foligno – Lazar – Nosek7:36
xG 0.34–0.85 (28%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – Carlo10:22
xG 1.08–0.48 (69%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Lindholm – McAvoy18:35
xG 1.44–0.85 (63%)attempts 21–14goals 1–1
- Reilly – Carlo5:14
xG 0.22–0.04 (84%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).