Sat, Apr 2, 2022·Prudential Center, Newark
Florida Panthers 7, New Jersey Devils 6 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 15 | 111 | 423 | 12 | 741 |
| NJD | 212 | 413 | 05 | 01 | 631 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:25NJDYegor SharangovichUnassisted · Wrist, 0.24 xG0–1
- P1 3:42NJDJack HughesUnassisted · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–2
- P1 9:02FLABen ChiarotUnassisted · Snap, 0.04 xG1–2
- P2 2:00NJDYegor SharangovichAssists: Dawson Mercer · Snap, 0.14 xG1–3
- P2 2:45NJDJanne KuokkanenAssists: Andreas Johnsson, Ty Smith · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–4
- P2 11:17FLARadko GudasAssists: Brandon Montour · Deflected, 0.07 xG2–4
- P2 14:44NJDYegor SharangovichSHAssists: Nico Hischier · Backhand, 0.15 xG2–5
- P2 16:08NJDAndreas JohnssonAssists: Janne Kuokkanen, Jesper Boqvist · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–6
- P3 5:34FLABrandon MontourAssists: Anthony Duclair, Mason Marchment · Slap, 0.02 xG3–6
- P3 7:03FLAGustav ForslingUnassisted · Snap, 0.23 xG4–6
- P3 15:23FLAAleksander BarkovAssists: Sam Bennett, Jonathan Huberdeau · Snap, 0.10 xG5–6
- P3 18:36FLAAleksander BarkovAssists: MacKenzie Weegar, Jonathan Huberdeau · Snap, 0.04 xG6–6
- OT 1:45FLAGustav ForslingGWGAssists: Sam Bennett · Snap, 0.04 xG7–6
Penalties (5)
- P1 5:01FLAMason Marchment: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:03FLARadko Gudas: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:26NJDDougie Hamilton: Holding2 min
- P2 0:00NJDDawson Mercer: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:28NJDAndreas Johnsson: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestGiroux – Reinhart – Marchment2:10
xG 0.84–0.08 (91%)attempts 8–2goals 1–0
- Huberdeau – Bennett – Lomberg4:07
xG 0.20–0.03 (89%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Reinhart – Marchment – Lundell7:27
xG 0.29–0.32 (48%)attempts 8–7goals 1–1
- Giroux – Huberdeau – Bennett5:40
xG 0.15–0.17 (46%)attempts 5–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestWeegar – Forsling16:01
xG 1.26–0.42 (75%)attempts 25–7goals 1–2
- Chiarot – Montour2:08
xG 0.17–0.04 (81%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Chiarot – Weegar2:11
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestJohnsson – Kuokkanen – Boqvist7:41
xG 0.42–0.20 (68%)attempts 9–5goals 2–1
- Tatar – Bratt – Hischier10:44
xG 0.53–0.45 (54%)attempts 9–14goals 0–1
- Vesey – Bastian – McLeod6:37
xG 0.02–0.11 (18%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Sharangovich – Hughes – Mercer15:06
xG 0.72–1.43 (34%)attempts 12–20goals 3–1
Defence pairs
- bestSubban – Smith10:38
xG 0.74–0.14 (84%)attempts 14–8goals 3–0
- Severson – Siegenthaler3:04
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Smith2:05
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).