Sat, Apr 2, 2022·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Los Angeles Kings 3, Winnipeg Jets 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 219 | 112 | 07 | 338 |
| WPG | 16 | 113 | 08 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:21LAKAdrian KempeSHAssists: Phillip Danault, Alexander Edler · Deflected, 0.28 xG1–0
- P1 6:24WPGNikolaj EhlersAssists: Mark Scheifele · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P1 10:32LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Adrian Kempe, Sean Durzi · Snap, 0.16 xG2–1
- P2 3:05LAKGabriel VilardiPPGWGAssists: Jordan Spence, Anze Kopitar · Deflected, 0.19 xG3–1
- P2 13:31WPGAdam LowryAssists: Ville Heinola, Neal Pionk · Tip-in, 0.25 xG3–2
Penalties (9)
- P1 2:03LAKArthur Kaliyev: Elbowing2 min
- P1 12:35WPGNeal Pionk: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:10WPGBlake Wheeler: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 11:27LAKTobias Bjornfot: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:09LAKTrevor Moore: Boarding2 min
- P2 19:04LAKAdrian Kempe: Interference2 min
- P3 8:27LAKSean Durzi: High sticking2 min
- P3 15:56WPGVille Heinola: Hooking2 min
- P3 19:41LAKAlexander Edler: Delaying game smothering puck2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Dubois
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Iafallo10:37
xG 0.93–0.37 (71%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore8:32
xG 0.61–0.10 (85%)attempts 15–5goals 0–1
- Grundstrom – Andersson – Kaliyev6:41
xG 0.38–0.40 (49%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Vilardi – Kupari – Byfield8:38
xG 0.14–0.20 (42%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMaatta – Spence11:51
xG 0.61–0.16 (79%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Durzi – Bjornfot14:40
xG 0.82–0.56 (59%)attempts 12–9goals 1–1
- Edler – Stecher12:21
xG 0.28–0.74 (27%)attempts 13–14goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestLowry – Svechnikov – Appleton7:17
xG 0.47–0.20 (70%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Wheeler – Sanford – Dubois10:07
xG 0.28–0.55 (33%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
- Stastny – Scheifele – Ehlers8:49
xG 0.28–0.64 (30%)attempts 5–14goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestPionk – Heinola12:16
xG 0.96–0.47 (67%)attempts 11–11goals 2–0
- DeMelo – Morrissey13:37
xG 0.43–0.41 (52%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
- Dillon – Stanley11:36
xG 0.32–0.44 (43%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).