Sun, Apr 3, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York
Philadelphia Flyers 4, New York Rangers 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 28 | 08 | 16 | 04 | 1 | 426 |
| NYR | 013 | 019 | 310 | 04 | 0 | 346 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:54PHICam YorkAssists: Nate Thompson · Slap, 0.02 xG1–0
- P1 6:44PHIOwen TippettAssists: Kevin Hayes · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–0
- P3 0:44PHIJoel FarabeeAssists: Travis Sanheim, Oskar Lindblom · Backhand, 0.09 xG3–0
- P3 1:22NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Jacob Trouba, K'Andre Miller · Tip-in, 0.05 xG3–1
- P3 15:28NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Frank Vatrano, Ryan Lindgren · Wrist, 0.20 xG3–2
- P3 15:40NYRAndrew CoppAssists: Artemi Panarin, Barclay Goodrow · Tip-in, 0.08 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. PHI Cam Atkinson stopped
- 2. NYR Mika Zibanejad stopped
- 3. PHI Owen Tippett stopped
- 4. NYR Artemi Panarin stopped
- 5. PHI Kevin Hayes scored
- 6. NYR Filip Chytil stopped
Penalties (6)
- P2 9:07PHIJames van Riemsdyk: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:09PHIHayden Hodgson: Holding2 min
- P3 2:38NYRRyan Reaves: High sticking2 min
- P3 5:11NYRArtemi Panarin: Hooking2 min
- P3 16:49PHIHayden Hodgson: Tripping2 min
- OT 4:26NYRChris Kreider: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thompson won the faceoff against Goodrow
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestvan Riemsdyk – Hayes – Tippett9:23
xG 0.59–0.35 (63%)attempts 8–10goals 1–0
- Hodgson – Frost – Cates7:10
xG 0.10–0.20 (34%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Thompson – Brown – Lindblom10:15
xG 0.09–0.47 (16%)attempts 3–10goals 1–1
- Atkinson – Konecny – Farabee10:00
xG 0.10–1.23 (8%)attempts 3–25goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Provorov – York13:06
xG 0.44–0.66 (40%)attempts 9–15goals 1–2
- Connauton – Attard11:03
xG 0.31–0.55 (36%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
- Ristolainen – Sanheim17:16
xG 0.36–0.97 (27%)attempts 6–22goals 1–1
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestGauthier – Chytil – Lafrenière8:34
xG 0.59–0.27 (68%)attempts 12–4goals 0–1
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Vatrano10:29
xG 0.79–0.55 (59%)attempts 13–9goals 1–0
- Brodzinski – Copp – Panarin7:26
xG 0.42–0.18 (70%)attempts 11–5goals 0–1
- Reaves – Motte – Brodzinski2:04
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Miller17:09
xG 1.06–0.64 (63%)attempts 23–10goals 2–1
- Braun – Nemeth11:08
xG 0.42–0.16 (72%)attempts 12–4goals 0–1
- Fox – Lindgren15:22
xG 0.73–0.59 (56%)attempts 19–9goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).