Sun, Apr 3, 2022·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Vegas Golden Knights 3, Vancouver Canucks 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 213 | 06 | 07 | 14 | 330 |
| VAN | 07 | 09 | 211 | 02 | 229 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:51VGKAlex PietrangeloAssists: Jack Eichel, Chandler Stephenson · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 12:31VGKJonathan MarchessaultUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–0
- P3 1:42VANJ.T. MillerAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Snap, 0.24 xG2–1
- P3 9:42VANBo HorvatPPUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- OT 2:05VGKShea TheodoreGWGAssists: Jonathan Marchessault, William Karlsson · Snap, 0.26 xG3–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 0:51VANOliver Ekman-Larsson: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:09VANElias Pettersson: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 12:46VGKJonas Rondbjerg: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 7:42VGKJonathan Marchessault: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 9:40VGKBrayden McNabb: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Karlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestJanmark – Kolesar – Roy7:24
xG 0.61–0.40 (60%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Stephenson – Leschyshyn – Rondbjerg2:00
xG 0.01–0.18 (7%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Marchessault – Amadio13:02
xG 0.16–0.46 (25%)attempts 6–13goals 0–1
- Dadonov – Stephenson – Eichel12:34
xG 0.34–0.93 (27%)attempts 10–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMartinez – Whitecloud14:42
xG 0.92–0.69 (57%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
- McNabb – Theodore15:14
xG 0.36–0.51 (41%)attempts 15–14goals 1–1
- Pietrangelo – Hutton13:56
xG 0.39–0.82 (32%)attempts 6–19goals 1–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestChiasson – Miller – Podkolzin4:57
xG 0.44–0.05 (90%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
- Miller – Pearson – Garland6:31
xG 0.27–0.22 (55%)attempts 4–7goals 0–1
- Pearson – Garland – Pettersson4:16
xG 0.09–0.06 (58%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Horvat – Boeser – Pettersson7:07
xG 0.20–0.25 (44%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchenn – Hughes9:46
xG 0.65–0.16 (80%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Schenn – Ekman-Larsson6:37
xG 0.49–0.03 (95%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Myers – Hughes3:12
xG 0.29–0.01 (95%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).