Sun, Apr 3, 2022·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Dallas Stars 1, Seattle Kraken 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 06 | 010 | 114 | 130 |
| SEA | 18 | 015 | 36 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:55SEAJared McCannSHAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Carson Soucy · Snap, 0.06 xG0–1
- P3 4:53SEARyan DonatoGWGAssists: Carson Soucy, Alexander Wennberg · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–2
- P3 14:25DALJohn KlingbergAssists: Jamie Benn, Joel Hanley · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P3 17:47SEAYanni GourdeAssists: Victor Rask, Karson Kuhlman · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–3
- P3 19:19SEAKarson KuhlmanENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.54 xG1–4
Penalties (4)
- P1 2:22SEAKole Lind: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:22SEAAdam Larsson: Interference2 min
- P3 12:31SEAJamie Oleksiak: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:52DALJason Robertson: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wennberg won the faceoff against Pavelski
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestPavelski – Hintz – Robertson11:47
xG 1.37–0.54 (72%)attempts 20–9goals 0–0
- Benn – Seguin – Gurianov6:40
xG 0.31–0.14 (69%)attempts 14–7goals 0–1
- Namestnikov – Peterson – Kiviranta3:46
xG 0.18–0.09 (67%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Glendening – Faksa – Raffl11:13
xG 0.27–0.20 (58%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlingberg – Harley17:19
xG 1.56–0.60 (72%)attempts 31–10goals 0–0
- Suter – Heiskanen17:34
xG 0.68–0.56 (55%)attempts 13–16goals 0–0
- Sekera – Hanley10:09
xG 0.04–0.11 (26%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestRask – Gourde – Lind11:24
xG 0.51–0.26 (66%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Sheahan – McCann – Kuhlman9:26
xG 0.23–0.10 (68%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Eberle – Wennberg – Donato11:45
xG 0.32–0.55 (37%)attempts 11–11goals 1–0
- Donskoi – Sprong – Geekie13:07
xG 0.74–1.11 (40%)attempts 11–20goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Soucy15:35
xG 1.05–0.37 (74%)attempts 16–10goals 1–0
- Pouliot – Borgen12:43
xG 0.18–0.27 (41%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Larsson – Dunn17:01
xG 0.68–1.39 (33%)attempts 14–23goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it DAL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − DAL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).