Wed, Apr 6, 2022·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Seattle Kraken 1, St. Louis Blues 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 09 | 111 | 09 | 129 |
| STL | 111 | 113 | 212 | 436 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:38STLRobert ThomasPPAssists: Ivan Barbashev, Pavel Buchnevich · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P2 7:56STLJustin FaulkGWGAssists: Brayden Schenn, Nick Leddy · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–2
- P2 9:55SEAJordan EberleAssists: Will Borgen, Ryan Donato · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–2
- P3 2:34STLJordan KyrouAssists: Brayden Schenn, Robert Bortuzzo · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–3
- P3 18:45STLRyan O'ReillyENAssists: Brandon Saad, Calle Rosen · Wrist, 0.77 xG1–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 2:59SEAJoonas Donskoi: Tripping2 min
- P1 5:33SEAJared McCann: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P2 13:17SEAJoonas Donskoi: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:26SEACarson Soucy: Cross checking2 min
- P3 12:11SEAAlexander Wennberg: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:16STLAlexey Toropchenko: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gourde won the faceoff against Thomas
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestMcCann – Geekie – Kuhlman2:25
xG 0.32–0.07 (81%)attempts 5–2goals 0–1
- Sheahan – McCann – Kuhlman4:47
xG 0.18–0.07 (74%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Eberle – Wennberg – Donato12:39
xG 0.71–0.67 (52%)attempts 17–12goals 1–0
- Donskoi – Sprong – Geekie4:05
xG 0.39–0.39 (50%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSoucy – Borgen11:11
xG 0.78–0.38 (67%)attempts 13–6goals 1–0
- Oleksiak – Fleury11:42
xG 0.48–0.29 (62%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
- Larsson – Dunn14:38
xG 0.50–0.93 (35%)attempts 16–14goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSchenn – Barbashev – Kyrou10:44
xG 0.85–0.39 (69%)attempts 14–6goals 2–1
- Tarasenko – Buchnevich – Thomas10:37
xG 0.38–0.46 (45%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
- MacEachern – Walker – Toropchenko7:30
xG 0.15–0.57 (21%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0
- Perron – O'Reilly – Saad9:25
xG 0.12–0.59 (17%)attempts 3–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Bortuzzo – Rosen8:09
xG 0.60–0.60 (50%)attempts 10–9goals 1–1
- Leddy – Faulk14:53
xG 0.62–0.65 (49%)attempts 9–15goals 1–0
- Scandella – Parayko13:52
xG 0.68–0.77 (47%)attempts 10–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).